METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez
Houston, USA
21 Feb 2026
Welterweight
VS
53%
Njokuani
47%
Leal
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Carlos LealwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Chidi Njokuani · UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Njokuani
→
Actual result
Leal wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Njokuani at 53% vs Leal at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Njokuani's chin rating of 40 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
NjokuaniLeal
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Njokuani
Leal
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
5'11"
80"+
Reach
74"
37
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Njokuani
Leal
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
56.6
50.9
46.8
Performance Avg
45.5
42
Quality of Victory
43
100
Momentum Score
60
Njokuani
Leal
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.1
/ 10
6.0
/ 10
5.1
Style: Pressure
5.0
5.1
Style: Volume
5.0
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
31
Head
39
11
Body
8
10
Leg
3
RangeRange
49Distance49
2Clinch1
1Ground0
Njokuani
Leal
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Njokuani
Leal
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
40
76
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/37 fights
Chin rating based on
4/30 fights
Njokuani
Leal
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
60
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Njokuani
Leal
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
50%
3
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Njokuani
Leal
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.0
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
5.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.0
NjokuaniLeal
Strike Zones
Njokuani
Attacking
52 landedAbsorbing
50 absorbedLeal
Attacking
50 landedAbsorbing
52 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Njokuani targets the head (60% of attacks) — Leal absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Leal targets the head (78% of attacks) — Njokuani absorbs 78% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Njokuani
RND
Leal
0/0R00/0
Njokuani · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Joel AlvarezDecision
UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry · 2026-08
L · Dec · R3
Carlos LealDecision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
L · Sub · R1
Jake MatthewsSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
W · KO · R2
Elizeu Zaleski dos SantosKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Jared GoodenDecision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · 2024-10
Leal · Last 4
W · Dec · R3
Chidi NjokuaniDecision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
L · KO · R1
Muslim SalikhovKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
W · KO · R1
Alex MoronoKO/TKO
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · 2025-03
L · Dec · R3
Rinat FakhretdinovDecision
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10