UFC 120: Bisping vs Akiyama
London, United Kingdom
16 Oct 2010
Welterweight
VS
51%
Wilks
49%
Patrick
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Wilks
This is a genuine toss-up — Wilks at 51% vs Patrick at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Wilks has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 29 points.
Wilks has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Wilks
Patrick
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'11"
75"
Reach
75"
48
Age
+45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Wilks
Patrick
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.5
19.8
57.5
Performance Avg
49.9
63
Quality of Victory
33
55
Momentum Score
79
Wilks
Patrick
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
0.4
52%
Strike Accuracy
46%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.5
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
7
0
Body
1
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance0
1Clinch1
0Ground7
Wilks
Patrick
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.7
Sub Attempts / fight
—
5.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.3
3.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Wilks
Patrick
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
76
98
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/11 fights
Chin rating based on
4/16 fights
Wilks
Patrick
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
55
79
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Wilks
Patrick
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
33%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Wilks
Patrick
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.5
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.3
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.6
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.8
WilksPatrick
Strike Zones
Wilks
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedPatrick
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Wilks targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Patrick absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Patrick targets the head (88% of attacks) — Wilks absorbs 88% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Wilks
RND
Patrick
0/0R00/0
Wilks · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Patrick · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Wilks · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Claude PatrickRating 5.5Decision
UFC 120: Bisping vs Akiyama · 2010-10
W · Dec · R3
Peter SobottaRating 4.5Decision
UFC 115: Liddell vs Franklin · 2010-06
L · KO · R3
Matt BrownRating 4.4KO/TKO
UFC 105: Couture vs Vera · 2009-11
W · Sub · R1
DaMarques JohnsonRating 5Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: United States vs. United Kingdom Finale · 2009-06
Patrick · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Brian EbersoleRating 5.5Decision
UFC 140: Jones vs Machida · 2011-12
W · Dec · R3
Daniel RobertsRating 4.5Decision
UFC 129: St-Pierre vs Shields · 2011-04
W · Dec · R3
James WilksRating 4.5Decision
UFC 120: Bisping vs Akiyama · 2010-10
W · Sub · R2
Ricardo FunchRating 5.2Submission
UFC 115: Liddell vs Franklin · 2010-06