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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 68: The Uprising
Columbus, USA
3 Mar 2007
Welterweight
VS
56%
Hughes
44%
Lytle
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
MH
Matt Hughes
45 – 9
5'9"73" reachSwitch52 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 23
CL
Chris Lytle
"Lights Out"
31 – 18
Well-Rounded51 yrsOrthodox68" reach5'11"
CFR 18
★ Official Result
Matt HugheswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Chris Lytle · UFC 68: The Uprising

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Hughes
→
Actual result
Hughes wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Hughes at 56% vs Lytle at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Hughes has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.

Striking split: Lytle throws more volume but Hughes connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Hughes's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
HughesLytle
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Hughes
Lytle
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'11"
73"+
Reach
68"
52
Age
+51
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Hughes
Lytle
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
23.0
18.3
64.6
Performance Avg
46.2
60
Quality of Victory
44
100
Momentum Score
56
Hughes
Lytle
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.3
1.3
56%
Strike Accuracy
42%
4.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.0
6 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
1
1
Body
4
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance1
0Clinch0
4Ground4
Hughes
Lytle
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.4
2.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.5
2.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.9
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Hughes
Lytle
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
80
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
4
KO/TKO Losses
0
3
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
25/54 fights
Chin rating based on
20/49 fights
Hughes
Lytle
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
56
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
Hughes
Lytle
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
61%
70%
6
KO / TKO Wins
1
5
Submission Wins
6
7
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Hughes
Lytle
Striking4.8 / 2.0Volume3.7 / 3.4Grappling2.9 / 5.5Wrestling2.0 / 3.9Submission2.8 / 6.0Pressure6.4 / 6.4
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.0
2.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.5
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.9
2.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
6.0
6.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.4
3.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.4
Hughes
Strike Zones
Lytle
Hughes
Attacking
3HEAD1BODY0LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD4BODY0LEGS5 absorbed
Lytle
Attacking
1HEAD4BODY0LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD1BODY0LEGS4 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Hughes targets the head (75% of attacks) — Lytle absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Lytle targets the body (80% of attacks) — Hughes absorbs 80% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Hughes
RND
Lytle
0/0R00/0

Hughes · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.0
0104.5W4.0W1.5L5.1W5.4W5.4W4.0W4.5W5.0W1.5L4.5W5.0W5.0W5.0W5.0W5.2W2.1L4.5W2.1L2.8L4.5W5.5W5.0W1.5L1.5L1999-092003-042006-052010-042011-09
WinLossTrend

Lytle · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0104.8L5.8L5.2W5.2W5.5L4.8L5.5L5.5L5.0W4.8L5.0W5.5L4.5W5.5L4.5W5.0W5.6W4.5W5.5L5.5W2000-112005-102008-022010-022011-08
WinLossTrend

Hughes · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Josh KoscheckRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 135: Jones vs Rampage · 2011-09
L · KO · R1
BJ PennRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 123: Rampage vs Machida · 2010-11
W · Sub · R1
Ricardo AlmeidaRating 5
Submission
UFC 117: Silva vs Sonnen · 2010-08
W · KO · R3
Renzo GracieRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC 112: Invincible · 2010-04
W · Dec · R3
Matt SerraRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 98: Evans vs Machida · 2009-05

Lytle · Last 5

W · Sub · R3
Dan HardyRating 5.5
Submission
UFC Live: Hardy vs Lytle · 2011-08
L · Dec · R3
Brian EbersoleRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 127: Penn vs Fitch · 2011-02
W · Dec · R3
Matt SerraRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 119: Mir vs Cro Cop · 2010-09
W · Sub · R2
Matt BrownRating 5.6
Submission
UFC 116: Lesnar vs Carwin · 2010-07
W · Sub · R1
Brian FosterRating 5
Submission
UFC 110: Nogueira vs Velasquez · 2010-02

News & Media

Matt Hughes · Chris Lytle
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