METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 68: The Uprising
Columbus, USA
3 Mar 2007
Welterweight
VS
56%
Hughes
44%
Lytle
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Matt HugheswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Chris Lytle · UFC 68: The Uprising
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Hughes
→
Actual result
Hughes wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Hughes at 56% vs Lytle at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Hughes has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.
Risk flags
Hughes's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
HughesLytle
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Hughes
Lytle
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'11"
73"+
Reach
68"
52
Age
52
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Hughes
Lytle
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
23.0
18.3
64.6
Performance Avg
46.2
60
Quality of Victory
44
100
Momentum Score
56
Hughes
Lytle
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.8
/ 10
2.0
/ 10
6.4
Style: Pressure
6.4
3.7
Style: Volume
3.4
6 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
1
1
Body
4
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance1
0Clinch0
4Ground4
Hughes
Lytle
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.9
/ 10
5.5
/ 10
2.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.9
2.8
Submission Style (/10)
6.0
5
Submission wins
6
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Hughes
Lytle
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
80
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
4
KO/TKO Losses
0
3
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
25/54 fights
Chin rating based on
20/49 fights
Hughes
Lytle
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
56
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
Hughes
Lytle
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
61%
70%
6
KO / TKO Wins
1
5
Submission Wins
6
7
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Hughes
Lytle
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.0
2.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.5
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.9
2.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
6.0
6.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.4
3.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.4
HughesLytle
Strike Zones
Hughes
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedLytle
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Hughes targets the head (75% of attacks) — Lytle absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Lytle targets the body (80% of attacks) — Hughes absorbs 80% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Hughes
RND
Lytle
0/0R00/0
Hughes · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Josh KoscheckKO/TKO
UFC 135: Jones vs Rampage · 2011-09
L · KO · R1
BJ PennKO/TKO
UFC 123: Rampage vs Machida · 2010-11
W · Sub · R1
Ricardo AlmeidaSubmission
UFC 117: Silva vs Sonnen · 2010-08
W · KO · R3
Renzo GracieKO/TKO
UFC 112: Invincible · 2010-04
W · Dec · R3
Matt SerraDecision
UFC 98: Evans vs Machida · 2009-05
Lytle · Last 5
W · Sub · R3
Dan HardySubmission
UFC Live: Hardy vs Lytle · 2011-08
L · Dec · R3
Brian EbersoleDecision
UFC 127: Penn vs Fitch · 2011-02
W · Dec · R3
Matt SerraDecision
UFC 119: Mir vs Cro Cop · 2010-09
W · Sub · R2
Matt BrownSubmission
UFC 116: Lesnar vs Carwin · 2010-07
W · Sub · R1
Brian FosterSubmission
UFC 110: Nogueira vs Velasquez · 2010-02