METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Correia
Kallang, Singapore
17 Jun 2017
Heavyweight
VS
54%
Arlovski
46%
Tybura
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Marcin TyburawinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Andrei Arlovski · UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Correia
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Arlovski
→
Actual result
Tybura wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Arlovski at 54% vs Tybura at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Arlovski has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.
Tybura has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Arlovski's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Tybura has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
ArlovskiTybura
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Arlovski
Tybura
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
6'3"
77"
Reach
+78"
47
Age
+40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Arlovski
Tybura
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
49.1
42.5
50.5
Performance Avg
45.2
47
Quality of Victory
37
94
Momentum Score
58
Arlovski
Tybura
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.5
1.6
47%
Strike Accuracy
53%
5.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.0
9 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
10
2
Body
2
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance1
2Clinch2
1Ground9
Arlovski
Tybura
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.9
1.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Arlovski
Tybura
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
8
KO/TKO Losses
5
3
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.8 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.6 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
42/58 fights
Chin rating based on
24/38 fights
Arlovski
Tybura
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
94
58
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · R2
L · Sub · R1
Arlovski
Tybura
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
48%
36%
9
KO / TKO Wins
4
2
Submission Wins
1
12
Decision Wins
9
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Arlovski
Tybura
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.0
1.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.9
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
0.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.7
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.3
5.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.7
ArlovskiTybura
Strike Zones
Arlovski
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedTybura
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Arlovski targets the head (50% of attacks) — Tybura absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Tybura targets the head (83% of attacks) — Arlovski absorbs 83% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Arlovski
RND
Tybura
0/0R00/0
Arlovski · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Tybura · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Arlovski · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Martin BudayRating 6.5Decision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
L · Dec · R3
Waldo Cortes AcostaRating 7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 · 2024-01
L · KO · R2
Don'Tale MayesRating 3.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi · 2023-06
L · Sub · R1
Marcos Rogerio de LimaRating 2.1Submission
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen · 2022-10
W · Dec · R3
Jake CollierRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera · 2022-04
Tybura · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Tyrell FortuneRating 6.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
L · KO · R1
Ante DelijaRating 2.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · 2025-09
W · Dec · R3
Mick ParkinRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03
W · R2
Jhonata DinizRating 5.1UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
L · Sub · R1
Serghei SpivacRating 2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · 2024-08