UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Correia
Kallang, Singapore
17 Jun 2017
Heavyweight
VS
54%
Arlovski
46%
Tybura
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Andrei
Andrei Arlovski
"The Pitbull"
3424
6'3"77" reachOrthodox47 yrs4-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 49
Marcin
Marcin Tybura
"Tybur"
2711
Well-Rounded2-fight slide40 yrsOrthodox78" reach6'3"
CFR 43

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Arlovski

This is a genuine toss-up — Arlovski at 54% vs Tybura at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Arlovski has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.

Tybura has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Arlovski's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Tybura has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Arlovski
Tybura
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
6'3"
77"
Reach
+78"
47
Age
+40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Arlovski
Tybura
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
49.1
42.5
50.5
Performance Avg
45.2
47
Quality of Victory
37
94
Momentum Score
58
Arlovski
Tybura
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
1.6
47%
Strike Accuracy
53%
5.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.0
9 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
10
2
Body
2
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance1
2Clinch2
1Ground9
Arlovski
Tybura
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.9
1.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Arlovski
Tybura
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
8
KO/TKO Losses
5
3
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.8 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.6 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
Strikes absorbed / min
42/58 fights
Chin rating based on
24/38 fights
Arlovski
Tybura
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
94
58
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · R2
L · Sub · R1
Arlovski
Tybura
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
48%
36%
9
KO / TKO Wins
4
2
Submission Wins
1
12
Decision Wins
9

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Arlovski
Tybura
Striking5.0 / 4.0Volume5.3 / 5.7Grappling1.9 / 1.9Wrestling1.4 / 1.4Submission0.9 / 0.7Pressure5.0 / 4.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.0
1.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.9
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
0.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.7
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.3
5.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.7
Arlovski
Strike Zones
Tybura
Arlovski
Attacking
3HEAD2BODY1LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD2BODY0LEGS12 absorbed
Tybura
Attacking
10HEAD2BODY0LEGS12 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD2BODY1LEGS6 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Arlovski targets the head (50% of attacks) — Tybura absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Tybura targets the head (83% of attacks) — Arlovski absorbs 83% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Arlovski
RND
Tybura
0/0R00/0

Arlovski · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0105.0W4.0L4.0L5.0W5.0W5.2W5.0W5.0W5.0W1.5L5.5L5.0W4.5W5.2W4.5W5.0W5.0W4.5W2.6L2.1L2.8L1.9L5.9L4.5W4.5W5.9L5.5L5.7L4.5W2.6L5.2W5.1W5.2L4.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W2.1L3.1L7.0L6.5L2000-112006-122017-062021-042024-06
WinLossTrend

Tybura · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.5L5.2W5.5W5.2W5.5L5.2L4.5W2.8L1.7L5.0W4.5W4.5W5.2W5.0W6.8L5.3W4.5W3.9L5.4W2.0L5.1W5.6W2.5L6.8L2016-042018-072020-122024-032026-03
WinLossTrend

Arlovski · Last 5

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KO/TKO
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Tybura · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Tyrell FortuneRating 6.8
Decision
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L · KO · R1
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KO/TKO
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Mick ParkinRating 5.6
Decision
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Submission
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News & Media

Andrei Arlovski · Marcin Tybura
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