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UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev
Las Vegas, USA
1 Mar 2025
Flyweight
VS
43%
Johnson
57%
Temirov
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Charles
Charles Johnson
"InnerG"
198
5'9"70" reachSwitch35 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 58
Ramazan
Ramazan Temirov
"Temurlan"
193
Knockout Artist3-fight win streak29 yrsOrthodox63" reach5'4"
CFR 76
★ Official Result
Ramazan TemirovwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Charles Johnson · UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Temirov
Actual result
Temirov wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Johnson at 43% vs Temirov at 57% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 18 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Johnson's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
JohnsonTemirov
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Johnson
Temirov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'4"
70"+
Reach
63"
35
Age
+29
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Johnson
Temirov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
57.5
75.5
48.2
Performance Avg
69.0
43
Quality of Victory
48
96
Momentum Score
100
Johnson
Temirov
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.5
/ 10
8.7
/ 10
4.8
Style: Pressure
7.7
5.6
Style: Volume
4.7
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
14
15
Body
1
6
Leg
0
RangeRange
23Distance11
14Clinch4
0Ground0
Johnson
Temirov
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.2
/ 10
0.8
/ 10
1.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.6
1.1
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Johnson
Temirov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
100
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
Strikes absorbed / min
16/27 fights
Chin rating based on
4/22 fights
Johnson
Temirov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
96
100
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
W · Sub · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
Last 5
Upcoming
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Johnson
Temirov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
44%
67%
3
KO / TKO Wins
2
1
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Johnson
Temirov
Striking4.5 / 8.7Volume5.6 / 4.7Grappling2.2 / 0.8Wrestling1.6 / 0.6Submission1.1 / 0.0Pressure4.8 / 7.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.7
2.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.8
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.6
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.7
5.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.7
Johnson
Strike Zones
Temirov
Johnson
Attacking
16HEAD15BODY6LEGS37 landed
Absorbing
14HEAD1BODY0LEGS15 absorbed
Temirov
Attacking
14HEAD1BODY0LEGS15 landed
Absorbing
16HEAD15BODY6LEGS37 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Johnson targets the head (43% of attacks) — Temirov absorbs 43% of strikes there
🎯Temirov targets the head (93% of attacks) — Johnson absorbs 93% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Johnson
RND
Temirov
0/0R00/0

Johnson · Last 5

W · Sub · R3
Eduardo Chapolin
Submission
UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry · 2026-08
L · Sub · R3
Asu Almabayev
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · 2026-06
W · Dec · R3
Bruno Silva
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
L · KO · R1
Alex Perez
KO/TKO
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
W · KO · R2
Lone'er Kavanagh
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08

Temirov · Last 4

Upcoming
Lone'er Kavanagh
UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev · 2026-10
W · KO · R1
Steve Erceg
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov · 2026-07
W · Dec · R3
Charles Johnson
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev · 2025-03
W · KO · R1
CJ Vergara
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · 2024-10

News & Media

Charles Johnson · Ramazan Temirov
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