UFC Fight Night 56: Shogun vs Saint Preux
Uberlandia, Brazil
8 Nov 2014
Lightweight
VS
59%
Silva
41%
Brenneman
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 4:15
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Silva
This is a genuine toss-up — Silva at 59% vs Brenneman at 41% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Silva throws more volume but Brenneman connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Brenneman has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Silva
Brenneman
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'10"
72"+
Reach
70"
40+
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Silva
Brenneman
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.0
9.7
37.9
Performance Avg
29.5
35
Quality of Victory
25
30
Momentum Score
45
Silva
Brenneman
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
0.5
49%
Strike Accuracy
49%
0.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
1
2
Body
0
0
Leg
3
RangeRange
4Distance3
0Clinch0
0Ground1
Silva
Brenneman
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
4.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
3.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Silva
Brenneman
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
92
0
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
3
—
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/26 fights
Chin rating based on
11/27 fights
Silva
Brenneman
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
30
45
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
5-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
Silva
Brenneman
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Silva
Brenneman
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.1
6.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.7
SilvaBrenneman
Strike Zones
Silva
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedBrenneman
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Silva targets the head (50% of attacks) — Brenneman absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Brenneman targets the legs (75% of attacks) — Silva absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Silva
RND
Brenneman
0/0R00/0
Silva · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Brenneman · QOF Timeline
Avg: 2.9WinLossTrend
Silva · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Rustam KhabilovRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Arlovski vs. Barnett · 2016-09
L · Dec · R3
Jason SaggoRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Thompson · 2016-06
W · Dec · R3
Efrain EscuderoRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs Gastelum · 2015-11
W · Dec · R3
Lewis GonzalezRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Romero · 2015-06
Upcoming
Drew DoberUFC Fight Night: Maia vs LaFlare · 2015-03
Brenneman · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Leandro SilvaRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night 56: Shogun vs Saint Preux · 2014-11
L · KO · R2
Danny CastilloRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 172: Jones vs Teixeira · 2014-04
L · Sub · R1
Beneil DariushRating 2.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Philippou · 2014-01
L · KO · R1
Kyle NokeRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 152: Jones vs Belfort · 2012-09
L · Sub · R1
Erick SilvaRating 1.5Submission
UFC on FX: Johnson vs McCall · 2012-06