UFC Fight Night 56: Shogun vs Saint Preux
Uberlandia, Brazil
8 Nov 2014
Middleweight
VS
63%
Magalhaes
37%
Smith
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:31
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Magalhaes
Magalhaes holds a meaningful edge at 63% per the CFR ratings — but Smith has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Magalhaes has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 24 points.
Striking split: Magalhaes throws more volume but Smith connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Smith has a chin rating of 26 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Magalhaes
Smith
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'3"
73"
Reach
+75"
38+
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Magalhaes
Smith
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.9
10.9
52.0
Performance Avg
31.7
49
Quality of Victory
25
43
Momentum Score
45
Magalhaes
Smith
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.1
43%
Strike Accuracy
53%
6.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.8
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
2
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance2
3Clinch0
3Ground0
Magalhaes
Smith
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
2.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
1.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Magalhaes
Smith
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
84
26
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/13 fights
Chin rating based on
12/25 fights
Magalhaes
Smith
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
43
45
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Magalhaes
Smith
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Magalhaes
Smith
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.3
3.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.8
MagalhaesSmith
Strike Zones
Magalhaes
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedSmith
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Magalhaes targets the head (100% of attacks) — Smith absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Smith targets the head (100% of attacks) — Magalhaes absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Magalhaes
RND
Smith
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Magalhaes · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Smith · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Magalhaes · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Brad TavaresRating 5.5Decision
UFC 203: Miocic vs. Overeem · 2016-09
L · Sub · R1
Josh SammanRating 1.5Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: American Top Team vs. Blackzilians Finale · 2015-07
W · KO · R1
Trevor SmithRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night 56: Shogun vs Saint Preux · 2014-11
W · KO · R1
Luke ZachrichRating 5KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Werdum vs Browne · 2014-04
W · Dec · R3
Nick RingRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Bigfoot · 2013-12
Smith · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Makhmud MuradovRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik · 2019-12
L · Dec · R3
Zak CummingsRating 5.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Iaquinta · 2018-12
L · Dec · R3
Elias TheodorouRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Till · 2018-05
W · Dec · R3
Chris CamozziRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Teixeira · 2017-05
L · Dec · R3
Andrew SanchezRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Abdurakhimov · 2016-12