Julian Erosa vs Steven Peterson — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland

Las Vegas, USA

5 Feb 2022

Featherweight

58%

Erosa

42%

Peterson

Win Probability

Decision

Round 3 · 5:00

Julian Erosa

"Juicy J"

31 – 14

6'1"74" reachSouthpaw37 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded

CFR 40

Steven Peterson

"Ocho"

19 – 11

Well-Rounded2-fight slide36 yrsOrthodox70" reach5'10"

CFR 28

★ Official Result

Julian ErosawinsDecisionR3 · 5:00

def. Steven Peterson · UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Erosa

→

Actual result

Erosa wins

Decision · R3

Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Erosa at 58% vs Peterson at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Erosa's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

ErosaPeterson

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Erosa

Peterson

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

6'1"+

Height

5'10"

74"+

Reach

70"

Age

+36

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

Erosa

Peterson

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

39.6

28.4

46.2

Performance Avg

36.0

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

Erosa

Peterson

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

3.2

/ 10

4.1

/ 10

6.2

Style: Pressure

3.5

3.7

Style: Volume

6.1

2 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

1 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

56Distance47

1Clinch3

5Ground0

Erosa

Peterson

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

4.4

/ 10

1.6

/ 10

3.0

Wrestling Style (/10)

1.1

4.4

Submission Style (/10)

0.0

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Erosa

Peterson

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

2 consec. KOs

Verdict

Never stopped

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R1.4 stoppage

KO round context

—

Most recent fight

Last KO loss

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

18/45 fights

Chin rating based on

8/30 fights

Erosa

Peterson

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

2-fight 📉 slide

Current form

2-fight 📉 slide

L · KO · R1

L · Dec · R3

W · KO · R1

W · Sub · R1

Last 5

L · Dec · R3

W · Dec · R3

W · KO · R2

L · Dec · R3

Erosa

Peterson

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

67%

33%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Erosa

Peterson

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

3.2

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

4.1

4.4

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

1.6

3.0

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

1.1

4.4

Submission

Submission attack frequency

0.0

6.2

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

3.5

3.7

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

6.1

Erosa

Strike Zones

Peterson

Erosa

Attacking

62 landed

Absorbing

50 absorbed

Peterson

Attacking

50 landed

Absorbing

62 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Erosa targets the head (73% of attacks) — Peterson absorbs 73% of strikes there

🎯Peterson targets the head (86% of attacks) — Erosa absorbs 86% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Erosa

RND

Peterson

0/0R00/0

Erosa · Last 5

L · KO · R1

Lerryan Douglas

KO/TKO

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Melquizael Costa

Decision

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Darren Elkins

KO/TKO

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Christian Rodriguez

Submission

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Ricardo Ramos

Submission

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Peterson · Last 5

L · Dec · R3

Lucas Alexander

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen · 2023-03

L · Dec · R3

Julian Erosa

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland · 2022-02

W · Dec · R3

Chase Hooper

Decision

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W · KO · R2

Martin Bravo

KO/TKO

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L · Dec · R3

Alex Caceres

Decision

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News & Media

Julian Erosa · Steven Peterson

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