UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown
Las Vegas, USA
8 Nov 2025
Lightweight
VS
62%
Padilla
38%
Bonfim
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:30
Chris
Chris Padilla
"Taco"
17 – 6
5'9"74" reachOrthodox30 yrs4-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 71
Ismael
Ismael Bonfim
"Marreta"
20 – 6
Well-Rounded2-fight slide30 yrsOrthodox71" reach5'8"
CFR 43

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Padilla

Padilla holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Bonfim has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 28 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Bonfim has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Bonfim has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Padilla
Bonfim
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'8"
74"+
Reach
71"
30
Age
30
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Padilla
Bonfim
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
70.9
42.8
64.2
Performance Avg
40.0
40
Quality of Victory
40
100
Momentum Score
41
Padilla
Bonfim
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
3.2
3.6
54%
Strike Accuracy
56%
4.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.8
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
25
Head
18
6
Body
8
16
Leg
2
RangeRange
28Distance28
4Clinch0
15Ground0
Padilla
Bonfim
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.6
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
1.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
2.5
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Padilla
Bonfim
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
100
64
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/23 fights
Chin rating based on
5/26 fights
Padilla
Bonfim
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
41
4-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · R2
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R2
Padilla
Bonfim
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Padilla
Bonfim
Striking4.5 / 5.8Volume4.0 / 4.8Grappling2.6 / 1.2Wrestling1.8 / 0.8Submission2.5 / 0.0Pressure6.5 / 4.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.8
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.7
4.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
Padilla
Strike Zones
Bonfim
Padilla
Attacking
25HEAD6BODY16LEGS47 landed
Absorbing
18HEAD8BODY2LEGS28 absorbed
Bonfim
Attacking
18HEAD8BODY2LEGS28 landed
Absorbing
25HEAD6BODY16LEGS47 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Padilla targets the head (53% of attacks) — Bonfim absorbs 53% of strikes there
🎯Bonfim targets the head (64% of attacks) — Padilla absorbs 64% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Padilla
RND
Bonfim
0/0R00/0

Padilla · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0105.0W4.7W5.2W5.6W2024-042024-092025-032025-11
WinLossTrend

Bonfim · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0106.8W3.3L4.7W5.5L4.5L2023-012023-072024-052025-022025-11
WinLossTrend

Padilla · Last 5

Upcoming
MarQuel Mederos
Decision
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
W · KO · R2
Ismael BonfimRating 5.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Jai HerbertRating 5.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03
W · R2
RongzhuRating 4.7
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · 2024-09
W · Sub · R1
James LlontopRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez · 2024-04

Bonfim · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Chris PadillaRating 4.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
L · R1
Nazim SadykhovRating 5.5
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
W · Dec · R3
Vinc PichelRating 4.7
Decision
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05
L · Sub · R1
Benoit Saint DenisRating 3.3
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov · 2023-07
W · KO · R2
Terrance McKinneyRating 6.8
KO/TKO
UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill · 2023-01

News & Media

Chris Padilla · Ismael Bonfim
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