UFC 39: The Warriors Return
Uncasville, USA
27 Sept 2002
Middleweight
VS
56%
Baroni
44%
Menne
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:18
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Baroni
This is a genuine toss-up — Baroni at 56% vs Menne at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Baroni has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 18 points.
Baroni has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Baroni's chin rating of 36 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Menne has a chin rating of 32 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Baroni
Menne
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'10"
72"
Reach
50+
Age
51
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Baroni
Menne
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.1
10.3
41.5
Performance Avg
32.1
49
Quality of Victory
31
10
Momentum Score
30
Baroni
Menne
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
0.6
48%
Strike Accuracy
36%
7.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
8Distance1
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Baroni
Menne
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
0.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
0.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Baroni
Menne
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
36
32
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/33 fights
Chin rating based on
6/62 fights
Baroni
Menne
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
10
30
6-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R5
Baroni
Menne
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Baroni
Menne
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
0.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
3.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.7
BaroniMenne
Strike Zones
Baroni
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedMenne
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Baroni targets the head (100% of attacks) — Menne absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Menne targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Baroni absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Baroni
RND
Menne
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Baroni · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Menne · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.3WinLossTrend
Baroni · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Brad TavaresRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 125: Resolution · 2011-01
L · Dec · R3
Amir SadollahRating 5.5Decision
UFC 106: Ortiz vs Griffin 2 · 2009-11
L · Sub · R3
Pete SellRating 4Submission
UFC 51: Super Saturday · 2005-02
L · Dec · R3
Evan TannerRating 5.5Decision
UFC 48: Payback · 2004-06
L · KO · R1
Evan TannerRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 45: Revolution · 2003-11
Menne · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Luigi FioravantiRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sanchez vs Riggs · 2006-12
L · Dec · R3
Josh KoscheckRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night 5 · 2006-06
L · KO · R1
Phil BaroniRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 39: The Warriors Return · 2002-09
L · KO · R2
Murilo BustamanteRating 2.1KO/TKO
UFC 35: Throwdown · 2002-01
W · Dec · R5
Gil CastilloRating 4.5Decision
UFC 33: Victory in Vegas · 2001-09