UFC Fight Night: Fight for the Troops 3
Fort Campbell, USA
6 Nov 2013
Middleweight
VS
94%
Brunson
6%
Houston
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 0:48
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Brunson
Brunson is a strong favourite at 94% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 38 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Brunson has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 47 points.
Brunson has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Brunson's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Brunson
Houston
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'2"
77"
Reach
42+
Age
45
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Brunson
Houston
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
40.2
2.4
54.7
Performance Avg
0.0
47
Quality of Victory
0
72
Momentum Score
0
Brunson
Houston
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
0.6
44%
Strike Accuracy
27%
6.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
7 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance0
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Brunson
Houston
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.0
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
1.4
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Brunson
Houston
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
86
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
6
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
21/32 fights
Chin rating based on
2/10 fights
Brunson
Houston
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
72
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Brunson
Houston
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
64%
0%
7
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Brunson
Houston
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
1.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
4.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
BrunsonHouston
Strike Zones
Brunson
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedHouston
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Brunson targets the head (100% of attacks) — Houston absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Brunson
RND
Houston
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Brunson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Houston · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.6WinLossTrend
Brunson · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Dricus Du PlessisRating 4.7KO/TKO
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · 2023-03
L · KO · R2
Jared CannonierRating 3.7KO/TKO
UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2 · 2022-02
W · Sub · R3
Darren TillRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Till · 2021-09
W · Dec · R5
Kevin HollandRating 5.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Holland · 2021-03
W · KO · R3
Edmen ShahbazyanRating 6.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Shahbazyan · 2020-08
Houston · Last 2
L · Dec · R3
Trevor SmithRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Philippou · 2014-01
L · Sub · R1
Derek BrunsonRating 1.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Fight for the Troops 3 · 2013-11