UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Till
Liverpool, United Kingdom
27 May 2018
Middleweight
VS
39%
Spicely
61%
Stewart
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 1:47
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Stewart
Stewart holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Spicely has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Spicely has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
Spicely has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Spicely's chin rating of 30 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Stewart has a chin rating of 46 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Spicely
Stewart
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
6'0"
73"
Reach
+74"
39
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Spicely
Stewart
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.3
26.9
43.8
Performance Avg
42.3
54
Quality of Victory
43
52
Momentum Score
68
Spicely
Stewart
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
1.4
48%
Strike Accuracy
42%
0.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.8
0 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
15
0
Body
2
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance11
0Clinch1
0Ground5
Spicely
Stewart
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
8.0
/ 10
2.6
/ 10
5.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.8
10.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.0
2
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Spicely
Stewart
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
30
46
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/18 fights
Chin rating based on
14/20 fights
Spicely
Stewart
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
52
68
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Spicely
Stewart
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
60%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
2
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Spicely
Stewart
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.8
8.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
5.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
10.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
7.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
0.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.0
SpicelyStewart
Strike Zones
Spicely
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedStewart
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Spicely targets the head (75% of attacks) — Stewart absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Stewart targets the head (88% of attacks) — Spicely absorbs 88% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Spicely
RND
Stewart
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Spicely · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.8WinLossTrend
Stewart · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Spicely · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Deron WinnRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. The Korean Zombie · 2019-06
L · KO · R2
Darren StewartRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Till · 2018-05
L · KO · R2
Gerald MeerschaertRating 3.8KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: A New World Champion Finale · 2017-12
L · Sub · R2
Antonio Carlos JuniorRating 2.8Submission
UFC 212: Aldo vs. Holloway · 2017-06
W · Sub · R1
Alessio Di ChiricoRating 5Submission
UFC on FOX: Shevchenko vs. Pena · 2017-01
Stewart · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Dustin JacobyRating 2.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Chikadze · 2021-08
L · Dec · R3
Eryk AndersRating 6.3Decision
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · 2021-06
Upcoming
Eryk AndersUFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Muhammad · 2021-03
L · Dec · R3
Kevin HollandRating 6.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley · 2020-09
W · Sub · R1
Maki PitoloRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik · 2020-08