UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Oliveira
Saskatoon, Canada
23 Aug 2015
Women's Strawweight
VS
79%
Moroz
21%
Letourneau
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Moroz
Moroz is a strong favourite at 79% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 35 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Moroz throws more volume but Letourneau connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Moroz
Letourneau
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
5'7"
67"
Reach
+68"
34+
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Moroz
Letourneau
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
46.9
12.1
40.3
Performance Avg
35.0
34
Quality of Victory
25
90
Momentum Score
35
Moroz
Letourneau
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.9
1.5
35%
Strike Accuracy
37%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
6
6
Body
3
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
9Distance9
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Moroz
Letourneau
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
4.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
3.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Moroz
Letourneau
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
78
74
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/17 fights
Chin rating based on
6/14 fights
Moroz
Letourneau
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
90
35
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Moroz
Letourneau
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Moroz
Letourneau
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.5
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.0
MorozLetourneau
Strike Zones
Moroz
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedLetourneau
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Moroz targets the body (67% of attacks) — Letourneau absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Letourneau targets the head (67% of attacks) — Moroz absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Moroz
RND
Letourneau
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Moroz · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Letourneau · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Moroz · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Joanne WoodRating 5.7Decision
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
L · Sub · R1
Karine SilvaRating 2.7Submission
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley · 2023-08
L · Dec · R3
Jennifer MaiaRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba · 2022-11
W · Sub · R2
Mariya AgapovaRating 5.5Submission
UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal · 2022-03
W · Dec · R3
Mayra Bueno SilvaRating 5.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira · 2020-03
Letourneau · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Viviane PereiraRating 5.5Decision
UFC 206: Holloway vs. Pettis · 2016-12
L · KO · R3
Joanne WoodRating 4.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Thompson · 2016-06
L · Dec · R5
Joanna JedrzejczykRating 5.5Decision
UFC 193: Rousey vs Holm · 2015-11
W · Dec · R3
Maryna MorozRating 5.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Oliveira · 2015-08
W · Dec · R3
Jessica RakoczyRating 4.5Decision
UFC 186: Johnson vs Horiguchi · 2015-04
