UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smith
Hamburg, Germany
22 Jul 2018
Middleweight
VS
50%
Miranda
50%
Azaitar
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Miranda
This is a genuine toss-up — Miranda at 50% vs Azaitar at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Miranda has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 32 points.
Miranda has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Miranda
Azaitar
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'9"
77"+
Reach
76"
47
Age
+40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Miranda
Azaitar
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
22.3
22.1
51.1
Performance Avg
28.3
57
Quality of Victory
25
78
Momentum Score
27
Miranda
Azaitar
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
0.7
51%
Strike Accuracy
39%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
7
1
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance1
0Clinch0
2Ground7
Miranda
Azaitar
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
0.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
0.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Miranda
Azaitar
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
92
76
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/17 fights
Chin rating based on
3/18 fights
Miranda
Azaitar
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
78
27
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Miranda
Azaitar
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Miranda
Azaitar
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
0.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.7
MirandaAzaitar
Strike Zones
Miranda
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedAzaitar
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Miranda targets the head (50% of attacks) — Azaitar absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Azaitar targets the head (88% of attacks) — Miranda absorbs 88% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Miranda
RND
Azaitar
0/0R00/0
Miranda · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Azaitar · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Miranda · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Abu AzaitarRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smith · 2018-07
L · Dec · R3
Marvin VettoriRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee · 2017-06
L · Dec · R3
Chris CamozziRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Garbrandt · 2016-05
W · KO · R2
Marcelo GuimaraesRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 196: McGregor vs Diaz · 2016-03
W · KO · R2
Clint HesterRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 190: Rousey vs Correia · 2015-08
Azaitar · Last 3
L · Dec · R3
Sedriques DumasRating 5.5Decision
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10
L · KO · R3
Marc-Andre BarriaultRating 4KO/TKO
UFC 260: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2021-03
W · Dec · R3
Vitor MirandaRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smith · 2018-07