UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Reis
Kansas City, USA
15 Apr 2017
Bantamweight
VS
46%
Williams
54%
Duquesnoy
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 0:28
PW
Patrick Williams
"The Animal"
8 – 6
5'8"73" reachOrthodox44 yrs2-fight slideSubmission Hunter
CFR 17
TD
Tom Duquesnoy
"Fire Kid"
16 – 2
Well-Rounded32 yrsOrthodox68" reach5'7"
CFR 20

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Duquesnoy

This is a genuine toss-up — Williams at 46% vs Duquesnoy at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Williams has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 14 points.

Williams has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Williams's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Williams
Duquesnoy
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"+
Height
5'7"
73"+
Reach
68"
44
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Williams
Duquesnoy
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.0
19.9
42.4
Performance Avg
50.7
54
Quality of Victory
40
43
Momentum Score
68
Williams
Duquesnoy
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.0
50%
Strike Accuracy
41%
0.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.3
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
3
0
Body
2
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
2Distance1
3Clinch5
0Ground0
Williams
Duquesnoy
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
8.0
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
5.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
10.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Williams
Duquesnoy
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
98
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/14 fights
Chin rating based on
3/18 fights
Williams
Duquesnoy
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
43
68
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Williams
Duquesnoy
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Williams
Duquesnoy
Striking0.5 / 6.3Volume0.5 / 5.3Grappling8.0 / 1.2Wrestling5.6 / 0.8Submission10.0 / 0.0Pressure7.8 / 5.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.3
8.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
5.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
10.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
0.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.3
Williams
Strike Zones
Duquesnoy
Williams
Attacking
5HEAD0BODY0LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD2BODY1LEGS6 absorbed
Duquesnoy
Attacking
3HEAD2BODY1LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD0BODY0LEGS5 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Williams targets the head (100% of attacks) — Duquesnoy absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Duquesnoy targets the head (50% of attacks) — Williams absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Williams
RND
Duquesnoy
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Williams · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.0
0102.8L5.0W2.8L5.5L2014-042015-062017-042018-04
WinLossTrend

Duquesnoy · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0105.2W5.5L4.5W2017-042017-102018-03
WinLossTrend

Williams · Last 4

L · Dec · R3
Luke SandersRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Gaethje · 2018-04
L · KO · R2
Tom DuquesnoyRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Reis · 2017-04
W · Sub · R1
Alejandro PerezRating 5
Submission
UFC 188: Velasquez vs Werdum · 2015-06
L · KO · R2
Chris BealRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 172: Jones vs Teixeira · 2014-04

Duquesnoy · Last 3

W · Dec · R3
Terrion WareRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Volkov · 2018-03
L · Dec · R3
Cody StamannRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee · 2017-10
W · KO · R2
Patrick WilliamsRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Reis · 2017-04

News & Media

Patrick Williams · Tom Duquesnoy
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