METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Reis
Kansas City, USA
15 Apr 2017
Bantamweight
VS
46%
Williams
54%
Duquesnoy
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 0:28
★ Official Result
Tom DuquesnoywinsKO/TKOR2 · 0:28
def. Patrick Williams · UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Reis
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Duquesnoy
→
Actual result
Duquesnoy wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Williams at 46% vs Duquesnoy at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Williams has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 14 points.
Risk flags
Williams's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
WilliamsDuquesnoy
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Williams
Duquesnoy
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"+
Height
5'7"
73"+
Reach
68"
45
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Williams
Duquesnoy
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.0
19.9
42.4
Performance Avg
50.7
54
Quality of Victory
40
43
Momentum Score
68
Williams
Duquesnoy
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.5
/ 10
6.3
/ 10
7.8
Style: Pressure
5.5
0.5
Style: Volume
5.3
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
3
0
Body
2
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
2Distance1
3Clinch5
0Ground0
Williams
Duquesnoy
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
8.0
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
5.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
10.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Williams
Duquesnoy
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
98
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/14 fights
Chin rating based on
3/18 fights
Williams
Duquesnoy
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
43
68
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Williams
Duquesnoy
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Williams
Duquesnoy
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.3
8.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
5.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
10.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
0.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.3
WilliamsDuquesnoy
Strike Zones
Williams
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedDuquesnoy
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Williams targets the head (100% of attacks) — Duquesnoy absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Duquesnoy targets the head (50% of attacks) — Williams absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Williams
RND
Duquesnoy
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Williams · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Luke SandersDecision
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Gaethje · 2018-04
L · KO · R2
Tom DuquesnoyKO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Reis · 2017-04
W · Sub · R1
Alejandro PerezSubmission
UFC 188: Velasquez vs Werdum · 2015-06
L · KO · R2
Chris BealKO/TKO
UFC 172: Jones vs Teixeira · 2014-04
Duquesnoy · Last 3
W · Dec · R3
Terrion WareDecision
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Volkov · 2018-03
L · Dec · R3
Cody StamannDecision
UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee · 2017-10
W · KO · R2
Patrick WilliamsKO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Reis · 2017-04