METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Reis
Kansas City, USA
15 Apr 2017
Bantamweight
VS
46%
Williams
54%
Duquesnoy
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 0:28
★ Official Result
Tom DuquesnoywinsKO/TKOR2 · 0:28
def. Patrick Williams · UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Reis
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Duquesnoy
→
Actual result
Duquesnoy wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Williams at 46% vs Duquesnoy at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Williams has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 14 points.
Williams has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Williams's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
WilliamsDuquesnoy
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Williams
Duquesnoy
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"+
Height
5'7"
73"+
Reach
68"
44
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Williams
Duquesnoy
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.0
19.9
42.4
Performance Avg
50.7
54
Quality of Victory
40
43
Momentum Score
68
Williams
Duquesnoy
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.0
1.0
50%
Strike Accuracy
41%
0.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.3
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
3
0
Body
2
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
2Distance1
3Clinch5
0Ground0
Williams
Duquesnoy
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
8.0
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
5.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
10.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Williams
Duquesnoy
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
98
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/14 fights
Chin rating based on
3/18 fights
Williams
Duquesnoy
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
43
68
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Williams
Duquesnoy
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Williams
Duquesnoy
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.3
8.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
5.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
10.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
0.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.3
WilliamsDuquesnoy
Strike Zones
Williams
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedDuquesnoy
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Williams targets the head (100% of attacks) — Duquesnoy absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Duquesnoy targets the head (50% of attacks) — Williams absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Williams
RND
Duquesnoy
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Williams · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
Duquesnoy · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Williams · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Luke SandersRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Gaethje · 2018-04
L · KO · R2
Tom DuquesnoyRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Reis · 2017-04
W · Sub · R1
Alejandro PerezRating 5Submission
UFC 188: Velasquez vs Werdum · 2015-06
L · KO · R2
Chris BealRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 172: Jones vs Teixeira · 2014-04
Duquesnoy · Last 3
W · Dec · R3
Terrion WareRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Volkov · 2018-03
L · Dec · R3
Cody StamannRating 5.5Decision
UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee · 2017-10
W · KO · R2
Patrick WilliamsRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Reis · 2017-04