UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes
Las Vegas, USA
22 Apr 2023
Women's Flyweight
VS
90%
Lucindo
10%
Walker
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Lucindo
Lucindo is a strong favourite at 90% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 48 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Lucindo has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 30 points.
Lucindo has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Lucindo
Walker
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'3"
Height
+5'4"
66"
Reach
+67"
24+
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Lucindo
Walker
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
53.8
5.9
46.5
Performance Avg
0.0
30
Quality of Victory
0
81
Momentum Score
0
Lucindo
Walker
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
0.7
47%
Strike Accuracy
31%
1.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
3
12
Body
4
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
25Distance7
0Clinch2
0Ground0
Lucindo
Walker
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
2.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Lucindo
Walker
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
96
74
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/24 fights
Chin rating based on
3/13 fights
Lucindo
Walker
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
81
0
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
Lucindo
Walker
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
20%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Lucindo
Walker
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
7.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
LucindoWalker
Strike Zones
Lucindo
Attacking
25 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedWalker
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
25 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Lucindo targets the head (52% of attacks) — Walker absorbs 52% of strikes there
🎯Walker targets the body (44% of attacks) — Lucindo absorbs 44% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Lucindo
RND
Walker
0/0R00/0
Lucindo · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Walker · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Lucindo · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Angela HillRating 4.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Amanda LemosRating 6.6Decision
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Marina RodriguezRating 5.2Decision
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
W · Dec · R3
Karolina KowalkiewiczRating 4.5Decision
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05
W · Sub · R2
Polyana VianaRating 5.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos · 2023-08
Walker · Last 3
L · Dec · R3
Veronica HardyRating 5.8Decision
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
L · Dec · R3
Iasmin LucindoRating 6.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes · 2023-04
L · KO · R3
Juliana MillerRating 4.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill · 2022-08

