UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes
Las Vegas, USA
22 Apr 2023
Women's Flyweight
VS
90%
Lucindo
10%
Walker
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Iasmin
Iasmin Lucindo
18 – 6
5'3"66" reachOrthodox24 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 54
Brogan
Brogan Walker
"The Bear"
8 – 5
Well-Rounded3-fight slide37 yrsSwitch67" reach5'4"
CFR 6

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Lucindo

Lucindo is a strong favourite at 90% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 48 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Lucindo has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 30 points.

Lucindo has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Lucindo
Walker
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'3"
Height
+5'4"
66"
Reach
+67"
24+
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Lucindo
Walker
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
53.8
5.9
46.5
Performance Avg
0.0
30
Quality of Victory
0
81
Momentum Score
0
Lucindo
Walker
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
0.7
47%
Strike Accuracy
31%
1.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
3
12
Body
4
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
25Distance7
0Clinch2
0Ground0
Lucindo
Walker
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
2.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Lucindo
Walker
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
96
74
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/24 fights
Chin rating based on
3/13 fights
Lucindo
Walker
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
81
0
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
Lucindo
Walker
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
20%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Lucindo
Walker
Striking1.4 / 0.0Volume7.8 / 0.0Grappling3.5 / 0.0Wrestling2.5 / 0.0Submission2.0 / 0.0Pressure3.5 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
7.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Lucindo
Strike Zones
Walker
Lucindo
Attacking
13HEAD12BODY0LEGS25 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD4BODY2LEGS9 absorbed
Walker
Attacking
3HEAD4BODY2LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
13HEAD12BODY0LEGS25 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Lucindo targets the head (52% of attacks) — Walker absorbs 52% of strikes there
🎯Walker targets the body (44% of attacks) — Lucindo absorbs 44% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Lucindo
RND
Walker
0/0R00/0

Lucindo · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0105.8L4.5W5.5W4.5W5.2W6.6L4.6W2022-082023-082024-102025-08
WinLossTrend

Walker · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0104.2L6.4L5.8L2022-082023-042025-10
WinLossTrend

Lucindo · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Angela HillRating 4.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Amanda LemosRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Marina RodriguezRating 5.2
Decision
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
W · Dec · R3
Karolina KowalkiewiczRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05
W · Sub · R2
Polyana VianaRating 5.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos · 2023-08

Walker · Last 3

L · Dec · R3
Veronica HardyRating 5.8
Decision
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
L · Dec · R3
Iasmin LucindoRating 6.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes · 2023-04
L · KO · R3
Juliana MillerRating 4.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill · 2022-08

News & Media

Iasmin Lucindo · Brogan Walker
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