METRICS GUIDE

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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett
Austin, USA
18 Jun 2022
Bantamweight
VS
71%
Yanez
29%
Kelley
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:49
Adrian
Adrian Yanez
176
5'7"70" reachOrthodox32 yrsKnockout Artist
CFR 68
TK
Tony Kelley
"Primetime"
83
Well-Rounded39 yrsSwitch70" reach5'9"
CFR 28
★ Official Result
Adrian YanezwinsKO/TKOR1 · 3:49
def. Tony Kelley · UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Yanez
Actual result
Yanez wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis

Yanez is a strong favourite at 71% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 40 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Yanez has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.

Risk flags

Yanez's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
YanezKelley
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Yanez
Kelley
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'9"
70"
Reach
70"
32+
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Yanez
Kelley
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
68.4
28.4
59.7
Performance Avg
44.0
53
Quality of Victory
40
100
Momentum Score
69
Yanez
Kelley
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
10.0
/ 10
6.0
/ 10
8.1
Style: Pressure
5.0
2.5
Style: Volume
5.0
6 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
29
Head
12
6
Body
6
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
29Distance20
1Clinch0
5Ground0
Yanez
Kelley
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.3
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
0.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Yanez
Kelley
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
76
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
Strikes absorbed / min
11/23 fights
Chin rating based on
4/11 fights
Yanez
Kelley
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
69
W · KO · R1
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Yanez
Kelley
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
86%
50%
6
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Yanez
Kelley
Striking10.0 / 6.0Volume2.5 / 5.0Grappling0.3 / 1.2Wrestling0.2 / 0.8Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure8.1 / 5.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.0
0.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
0.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
2.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.0
Yanez
Strike Zones
Kelley
Yanez
Attacking
29HEAD6BODY0LEGS35 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD6BODY2LEGS20 absorbed
Kelley
Attacking
12HEAD6BODY2LEGS20 landed
Absorbing
29HEAD6BODY0LEGS35 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Yanez targets the head (83% of attacks) — Kelley absorbs 83% of strikes there
🎯Kelley targets the head (60% of attacks) — Yanez absorbs 60% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Yanez
RND
Kelley
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Yanez · Last 5

W · KO · R1
Cody Garbrandt
KO/TKO
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
Upcoming
Ricky Simon
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
L · Dec · R3
Daniel Marcos
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
W · KO · R1
Vinicius Salvador
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy · 2024-05
L · KO · R2
Jonathan Martinez
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · 2023-10

Kelley · Last 4

L · KO · R1
Adrian Yanez
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett · 2022-06
W · KO · R2
Randy Costa
KO/TKO
UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier · 2021-12
W · Dec · R3
Ali AlQaisi
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moraes vs. Sandhagen · 2020-10
L · Dec · R3
Kai Kamaka III
Decision
UFC 252: Miocic vs. Cormier 3 · 2020-08

News & Media

Adrian Yanez · Tony Kelley
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