METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 116: Lesnar vs Carwin
Las Vegas, USA
3 Jul 2010
Light Heavyweight
VS
8%
Petruzelli
92%
Romero
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 3:05
★ Official Result
Ricardo RomerowinsSubmissionR2 · 3:05
def. Seth Petruzelli · UFC 116: Lesnar vs Carwin
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Romero
→
Actual result
Romero wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Romero is a strong favourite at 92% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Romero has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 50 points.
Risk flags
Petruzelli's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Romero has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
PetruzelliRomero
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Petruzelli
Romero
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
6'0"
76"
Reach
76"
46+
Age
48
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Petruzelli
Romero
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
1.5
16.5
0.0
Performance Avg
43.0
0
Quality of Victory
50
0
Momentum Score
35
Petruzelli
Romero
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.0
/ 10
0.7
/ 10
0.0
Style: Pressure
8.0
0.0
Style: Volume
0.7
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
5
0
Body
5
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance1
0Clinch0
2Ground9
Petruzelli
Romero
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.0
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
10.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Petruzelli
Romero
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
56
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/22 fights
Chin rating based on
3/14 fights
Petruzelli
Romero
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
35
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
Petruzelli
Romero
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Petruzelli
Romero
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
PetruzelliRomero
Strike Zones
Petruzelli
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedRomero
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Petruzelli targets the head (100% of attacks) — Romero absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Romero targets the head (50% of attacks) — Petruzelli absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Petruzelli
RND
Romero
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Petruzelli · Last 4
L · KO · R1
Karlos VemolaKO/TKO
UFC 122: Marquardt vs Okami · 2010-11
L · Sub · R2
Ricardo RomeroSubmission
UFC 116: Lesnar vs Carwin · 2010-07
L · Sub · R2
Wilson GouveiaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Stevenson vs Guillard · 2007-04
L · Dec · R3
Matt HamillDecision
Ortiz vs Shamrock 3: The Final Chapter · 2006-10
Romero · Last 3
L · KO · R1
James Te HunaKO/TKO
UFC 135: Jones vs Rampage · 2011-09
L · KO · R1
Kyle KingsburyKO/TKO
UFC 126: Silva vs Belfort · 2011-02
W · Sub · R2
Seth PetruzelliSubmission
UFC 116: Lesnar vs Carwin · 2010-07