METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 116: Lesnar vs Carwin
Las Vegas, USA
3 Jul 2010
Light Heavyweight
VS
8%
Petruzelli
92%
Romero
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 3:05
★ Official Result
Ricardo RomerowinsSubmissionR2 · 3:05
def. Seth Petruzelli · UFC 116: Lesnar vs Carwin
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Romero
→
Actual result
Romero wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Romero is a strong favourite at 92% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Romero has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 50 points.
Romero has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Petruzelli's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Romero has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
PetruzelliRomero
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Petruzelli
Romero
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
6'0"
76"
Reach
76"
46+
Age
48
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Petruzelli
Romero
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
1.5
16.5
0.0
Performance Avg
43.0
0
Quality of Victory
50
0
Momentum Score
35
Petruzelli
Romero
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.5
0.9
37%
Strike Accuracy
55%
0.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
5
0
Body
5
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance1
0Clinch0
2Ground9
Petruzelli
Romero
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.0
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
10.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Petruzelli
Romero
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
56
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/22 fights
Chin rating based on
3/14 fights
Petruzelli
Romero
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
35
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
Petruzelli
Romero
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Petruzelli
Romero
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
PetruzelliRomero
Strike Zones
Petruzelli
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedRomero
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Petruzelli targets the head (100% of attacks) — Romero absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Romero targets the head (50% of attacks) — Petruzelli absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Petruzelli
RND
Romero
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Petruzelli · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.2WinLossTrend
Romero · QOF Timeline
Avg: 2.7WinLossTrend
Petruzelli · Last 4
L · KO · R1
Karlos VemolaRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 122: Marquardt vs Okami · 2010-11
L · Sub · R2
Ricardo RomeroRating 2.8Submission
UFC 116: Lesnar vs Carwin · 2010-07
L · Sub · R2
Wilson GouveiaRating 2.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Stevenson vs Guillard · 2007-04
L · Dec · R3
Matt HamillRating 5.5Decision
Ortiz vs Shamrock 3: The Final Chapter · 2006-10
Romero · Last 3
L · KO · R1
James Te HunaRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 135: Jones vs Rampage · 2011-09
L · KO · R1
Kyle KingsburyRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 126: Silva vs Belfort · 2011-02
W · Sub · R2
Seth PetruzelliRating 5.2Submission
UFC 116: Lesnar vs Carwin · 2010-07