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UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez
Las Vegas, USA
8 Jul 2023
Welterweight
VS
46%
Lawler
54%
Price
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 Β· 0:38
RL
Robbie Lawler
"Ruthless"
30 – 16
5'11"74" reachSouthpaw44 yrsStriker
CFR 41
Niko
Niko Price
"The Hybrid"
16 – 11
Well-Rounded4-fight slide36 yrsOrthodox76" reach6'0"
CFR 48
β˜… Official Result
Robbie LawlerwinsKO/TKOR1 Β· 0:38
def. Niko Price Β· UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis Β· prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Price
β†’
Actual result
Lawler wins
KO/TKO Β· R1
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up β€” Lawler at 46% vs Price at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Price throws more volume but Lawler connects at a higher rate β€” quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Lawler's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Price has a chin rating of 0 β€” a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight β€” Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
LawlerPrice
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
β€”
Strike Accuracy
β€”
Lawler
Price
Physical Matchup
Height Β· Reach Β· Age Β· Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'0"
74"
Reach
+76"
44
Age
+36
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Lawler
Price
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
40.7
48.4
51.0
Performance Avg
46.0
45
Quality of Victory
49
90
Momentum Score
65
Lawler
Price
Striking
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
1.3
2.6
50%
Strike Accuracy
46%
6.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.8
8 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
0
0
Body
1
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
4Distance1
4Clinch1
0Ground0
Lawler
Price
Grappling
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
β€”
β€”
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.6
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Lawler
Price
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
5
3
Sub Losses
3
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.6 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
β€”
Strikes absorbed / min
β€”
25/46 fights
Chin rating based on
21/27 fights
Lawler
Price
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance β€” most recent weighted 30%
90
65
Current form
4-fight πŸ“‰ slide
W Β· KO Β· R1
L Β· KO Β· R2
W Β· KO Β· R3
L Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· Dec Β· R5
Last 5
L Β· Sub Β· R1
L Β· KO Β· R1
L Β· Sub Β· R2
L Β· Dec Β· R3
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Lawler
Price
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
53%
75%
8
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
2
7
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar β€” 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Lawler
Price
Striking6.5 / 5.8Volume4.9 / 2.8Grappling1.1 / 2.6Wrestling0.8 / 1.8Submission0.0 / 2.5Pressure5.5 / 6.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.8
1.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.5
4.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.8
Lawler
Strike Zones
Price
Lawler
Attacking
8HEAD0BODY0LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD1BODY1LEGS2 absorbed
Price
Attacking
0HEAD1BODY1LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD0BODY0LEGS8 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Lawler targets the head (100% of attacks) β€” Price absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Price targets the body (50% of attacks) β€” Lawler absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight Β· per-round breakdown

Lawler
RND
Price
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Lawler Β· QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0104.5W5.2W5.0W2.8L4.5W2.8L1.5L5.0W5.2W4.5W5.5L5.5W4.9W4.5W5.5W4.5W1.5L4.5W5.7L1.5L6.8L6.1L5.2W3.2L5.7W2002-052013-022015-072020-082023-07
WinLossTrend

Price Β· QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0105.0W5.0W4.2L5.2W6.1W3.0L5.1W3.8L5.0W7.0L6.1L4.5W5.1L1.8L4.5W5.9L5.1L1.9L2.3L2016-122018-092021-072024-102026-03
WinLossTrend

Lawler Β· Last 5

W Β· KO Β· R1
Niko PriceRating 5.7
KO/TKO
UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez Β· 2023-07
L Β· KO Β· R2
Bryan BarberenaRating 3.2
KO/TKO
UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier Β· 2022-07
W Β· KO Β· R3
Nick DiazRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega Β· 2021-09
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Neil MagnyRating 6.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Rakic Β· 2020-08
L Β· Dec Β· R5
Colby CovingtonRating 6.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Lawler Β· 2019-08

Price Β· Last 5

L Β· Sub Β· R1
Michael ChiesaRating 2.3
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer Β· 2026-03
L Β· KO Β· R1
Nikolay VeretennikovRating 1.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira Β· 2026-02
L Β· Sub Β· R2
Jacobe SmithRating 5.1
Submission
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira Β· 2025-06
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Themba GorimboRating 5.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira Β· 2024-10
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Alex MoronoRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier Β· 2024-06

News & Media

Robbie Lawler Β· Niko Price
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