METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Ortiz vs. Team Shamrock Finale
Las Vegas, USA
24 Jun 2006
Light Heavyweight
VS
91%
Hamill
9%
Forbes
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:47
★ Official Result
Matt HamillwinsKO/TKOR1 · 4:47
def. Jesse Forbes · The Ultimate Fighter: Team Ortiz vs. Team Shamrock Finale
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Hamill
→
Actual result
Hamill wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Hamill is a strong favourite at 91% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Hamill has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 42 points.
Hamill has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Hamill's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Forbes has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
HamillForbes
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Hamill
Forbes
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'2"
76"+
Reach
75"
49
Age
+41
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Hamill
Forbes
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.5
1.8
51.9
Performance Avg
0.0
42
Quality of Victory
0
63
Momentum Score
0
Hamill
Forbes
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.5
1.1
47%
Strike Accuracy
27%
6.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
5 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
30
Head
4
1
Body
3
2
Leg
2
RangeRange
9Distance8
16Clinch1
8Ground0
Hamill
Forbes
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.0
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
0.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Hamill
Forbes
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
64
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/20 fights
Chin rating based on
3/20 fights
Hamill
Forbes
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
63
0
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Hamill
Forbes
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
5
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Hamill
Forbes
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
4.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
HamillForbes
Strike Zones
Hamill
Attacking
33 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedForbes
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
33 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Hamill targets the head (91% of attacks) — Forbes absorbs 91% of strikes there
🎯Forbes targets the head (44% of attacks) — Hamill absorbs 44% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Hamill
RND
Forbes
0/0R00/0
Hamill · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Forbes · QOF Timeline
Avg: 2.8WinLossTrend
Hamill · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Thiago SilvaRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs Shields · 2013-10
W · Dec · R3
Roger HollettRating 4.5Decision
UFC 152: Jones vs Belfort · 2012-09
L · KO · R2
Alexander GustafssonRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 133: Evans vs Ortiz 2 · 2011-08
L · Dec · R3
Quinton JacksonRating 5.5Decision
UFC 130: Rampage vs Hamill · 2011-05
W · Dec · R3
Tito OrtizRating 4.5Decision
UFC 121: Lesnar vs Velasquez · 2010-10
Forbes · Last 3
L · Sub · R1
Ryan JensenRating 1.5Submission
UFC 114: Rampage vs Evans · 2010-05
L · Dec · R3
Nick CatoneRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Maynard vs Diaz · 2010-01
L · KO · R1
Matt HamillRating 1.5KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Ortiz vs. Team Shamrock Finale · 2006-06