METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Swick vs Burkman
Las Vegas, USA
23 Jan 2008
Welterweight
VS
61%
Swick
39%
Burkman
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
JB
CFR 14
★ Official Result
Mike SwickwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Joshua Burkman · UFC Fight Night: Swick vs Burkman
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Swick
→
Actual result
Swick wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Swick holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Burkman has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Swick has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Burkman has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Swick's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Burkman has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
SwickBurkman
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Swick
Burkman
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'10"
77"+
Reach
72"
47
Age
+46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Swick
Burkman
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
22.6
14.3
55.0
Performance Avg
34.7
47
Quality of Victory
36
100
Momentum Score
80
Swick
Burkman
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.9
0.9
36%
Strike Accuracy
43%
6.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.3
5 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
5
5
Body
1
8
Leg
7
RangeRange
8Distance7
12Clinch6
0Ground0
Swick
Burkman
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.9
1.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Swick
Burkman
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
0
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
5
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/21 fights
Chin rating based on
19/44 fights
Swick
Burkman
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
80
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
5-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Swick
Burkman
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
70%
33%
5
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Swick
Burkman
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.3
2.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.9
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.0
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.7
6.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.3
3.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.0
SwickBurkman
Strike Zones
Swick
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedBurkman
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Swick targets the legs (40% of attacks) — Burkman absorbs 40% of strikes there
🎯Burkman targets the legs (54% of attacks) — Swick absorbs 54% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Swick
RND
Burkman
0/0R00/0
Swick · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Burkman · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.2WinLossTrend
Swick · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Alex GarciaRating 5.5Decision
UFC 189: Mendes vs McGregor · 2015-07
L · KO · R2
Matt BrownRating 3.1KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Diaz · 2012-12
W · KO · R2
DaMarques JohnsonRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Shogun vs Vera · 2012-08
L · Sub · R2
Paulo ThiagoRating 2.8Submission
UFC 109: Relentless · 2010-02
L · Dec · R3
Dan HardyRating 5.5Decision
UFC 105: Couture vs Vera · 2009-11
Burkman · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Alex MoronoRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Medeiros · 2018-02
L · KO · R1
Drew DoberRating 2.7KO/TKO
UFC 214: Cormier vs. Jones 2 · 2017-07
L · Sub · R1
Michel PrazeresRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs. Gastelum · 2017-03
L · Dec · R3
Zak OttowRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Dodson · 2016-10
L · Dec · R3
Paul FelderRating 5.5Decision
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