METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Swick vs Burkman
Las Vegas, USA
23 Jan 2008
Welterweight
VS
61%
Swick
39%
Burkman
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
JB
CFR 14
★ Official Result
Mike SwickwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Joshua Burkman · UFC Fight Night: Swick vs Burkman
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Swick
→
Actual result
Swick wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Swick holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Burkman has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Swick has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Risk flags
Swick's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Burkman has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
SwickBurkman
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Swick
Burkman
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'10"
77"+
Reach
72"
47
Age
+46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Swick
Burkman
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
22.6
14.3
55.0
Performance Avg
34.7
47
Quality of Victory
36
100
Momentum Score
80
Swick
Burkman
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.3
/ 10
2.3
/ 10
6.9
Style: Pressure
3.3
3.7
Style: Volume
6.0
5 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
5
5
Body
1
8
Leg
7
RangeRange
8Distance7
12Clinch6
0Ground0
Swick
Burkman
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.3
/ 10
2.9
/ 10
1.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.0
2.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.7
2
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Swick
Burkman
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
0
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
5
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/21 fights
Chin rating based on
19/44 fights
Swick
Burkman
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
80
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
5-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Swick
Burkman
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
70%
33%
5
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Swick
Burkman
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.3
2.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.9
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.0
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.7
6.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.3
3.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.0
SwickBurkman
Strike Zones
Swick
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedBurkman
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Swick targets the legs (40% of attacks) — Burkman absorbs 40% of strikes there
🎯Burkman targets the legs (54% of attacks) — Swick absorbs 54% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Swick
RND
Burkman
0/0R00/0
Swick · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
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L · Sub · R1
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