UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett
Las Vegas, USA
24 Jan 2026
Welterweight
VS
32%
Fugitt
68%
Miller
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:59
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Miller
Miller holds a meaningful edge at 68% per the CFR ratings — but Fugitt has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 44 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Miller has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 18 points.
Miller has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Fugitt's chin rating of 22 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Fugitt
Miller
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'2"
77"
Reach
77"
37
Age
+25
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Fugitt
Miller
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
39.1
82.8
38.8
Performance Avg
76.0
43
Quality of Victory
60
41
Momentum Score
100
Fugitt
Miller
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.6
23.6
47%
Strike Accuracy
49%
5.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
55
21
Body
4
5
Leg
0
RangeRange
30Distance55
6Clinch3
0Ground1
Fugitt
Miller
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.2
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Fugitt
Miller
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
22
100
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/16 fights
Chin rating based on
1/7 fights
Fugitt
Miller
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
41
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
Last 5
W · KO · R1
Fugitt
Miller
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Fugitt
Miller
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
10.0
4.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.0
FugittMiller
Strike Zones
Fugitt
Attacking
36 landedAbsorbing
59 absorbedMiller
Attacking
59 landedAbsorbing
36 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Fugitt targets the body (58% of attacks) — Miller absorbs 58% of strikes there
🎯Miller targets the head (93% of attacks) — Fugitt absorbs 93% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Fugitt
RND
Miller
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Fugitt · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Fugitt · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Ty MillerRating 3.9KO/TKO
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
L · KO · R1
Islam DulatovRating 3.9KO/TKO
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
W · Dec · R3
Josh QuinlanRating 4.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira · 2024-06
L · Sub · R2
Mike MalottRating 4.5Submission
UFC 289: Nunes vs. Aldana · 2023-06
W · KO · R1
Yusaku KinoshitaRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivac · 2023-02
Miller · Last 1
W · KO · R1
Adam FugittRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01

