METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 190: Rousey vs Correia
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
1 Aug 2015
Light Heavyweight
VS
58%
Cavalcante
42%
Cummins
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 0:45
★ Official Result
Patrick CumminswinsKO/TKOR3 · 0:45
def. Rafael Cavalcante · UFC 190: Rousey vs Correia
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Cavalcante
→
Actual result
Cummins wins
KO/TKO · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Cavalcante at 58% vs Cummins at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Cavalcante has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 26 points.
Risk flags
Cavalcante's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Cummins has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
CavalcanteCummins
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Cavalcante
Cummins
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'2"
74"
Reach
+76"
46
Age
+45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Cavalcante
Cummins
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.2
12.7
44.0
Performance Avg
39.0
60
Quality of Victory
34
39
Momentum Score
45
Cavalcante
Cummins
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
10.0
/ 10
4.3
/ 10
7.6
Style: Pressure
3.7
0.4
Style: Volume
6.3
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
11
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance1
0Clinch0
0Ground10
Cavalcante
Cummins
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.0
/ 10
1.6
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.1
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Cavalcante
Cummins
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
0
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
5
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.2 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/19 fights
Chin rating based on
13/17 fights
Cavalcante
Cummins
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
39
45
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Cavalcante
Cummins
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
33%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Cavalcante
Cummins
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.3
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.7
0.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.3
CavalcanteCummins
Strike Zones
Cavalcante
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedCummins
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Cavalcante targets the head (100% of attacks) — Cummins absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Cummins targets the head (100% of attacks) — Cavalcante absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Cavalcante
RND
Cummins
0/0R00/0
Cavalcante · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Ovince Saint PreuxDecision
UFC Fight Night: Hendricks vs Thompson · 2016-02
L · KO · R3
Patrick CumminsKO/TKO
UFC 190: Rousey vs Correia · 2015-08
L · Dec · R3
Ryan BaderDecision
UFC 174: Johnson vs Bagautinov · 2014-06
W · KO · R1
Igor PokrajacKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 2 · 2013-11
L · KO · R1
Thiago SilvaKO/TKO
UFC on FUEL TV: Nogueira vs. Werdum · 2013-06
Cummins · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Ed HermanKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Lee · 2019-05
L · Sub · R1
Misha CirkunovSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. Smith · 2018-10
L · Dec · R3
Corey AndersonDecision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Lee · 2018-04
W · Dec · R3
Gian VillanteDecision
UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Gastelum · 2017-07
W · Dec · R3
Jan BlachowiczDecision
UFC 210: Cormier vs. Johnson 2 · 2017-04