METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2
Newark, USA
7 Jun 2025
Welterweight
VS
56%
Luque
44%
Holland
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 1:03
★ Official Result
Kevin HollandwinsSubmissionR2 · 1:03
def. Vicente Luque · UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Luque
→
Actual result
Holland wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Luque at 56% vs Holland at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Luque's chin rating of 32 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Holland has a chin rating of 6 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
LuqueHolland
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Luque
Holland
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'3"
75"
Reach
+81"
34
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Luque
Holland
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
59.9
47.0
56.1
Performance Avg
49.3
50
Quality of Victory
44
79
Momentum Score
51
Luque
Holland
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.4
/ 10
4.3
/ 10
7.7
Style: Pressure
6.5
2.3
Style: Volume
3.6
7 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
5 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
2
0
Body
0
1
Leg
3
RangeRange
2Distance5
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Luque
Holland
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.6
/ 10
3.8
/ 10
2.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.6
4.1
Submission Style (/10)
3.8
7
Submission wins
6
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Luque
Holland
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
32
6
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
3
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
6 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
26/36 fights
Chin rating based on
29/44 fights
Luque
Holland
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
79
51
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Luque
Holland
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
82%
69%
7
KO / TKO Wins
5
7
Submission Wins
6
3
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Luque
Holland
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.3
3.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.8
2.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.6
4.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.8
7.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.5
2.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.6
LuqueHolland
Strike Zones
Luque
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedHolland
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Luque targets the head (50% of attacks) — Holland absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Holland targets the legs (60% of attacks) — Luque absorbs 60% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Luque
RND
Holland
0/0R00/0
Luque · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Tresean GoreDecision
UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry · 2026-08
W · Sub · R1
Kelvin GastelumSubmission
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
L · Dec · R3
Joel AlvarezDecision
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · 2025-10
L · Sub · R2
Kevin HollandSubmission
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06
W · Sub · R1
Themba GorimboSubmission
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
Holland · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Randy BrownDecision
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
L · Dec · R3
Mike MalottDecision
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
L · Dec · R3
Daniel RodriguezDecision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
W · Sub · R2
Vicente LuqueSubmission
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06
W · Dec · R3
Gunnar NelsonDecision
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03