UFC Fight Night: Munoz vs Mousasi
Berlin, Germany
31 May 2014
Bantamweight
VS
45%
Lee
55%
Alcantara
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:25
VL
Vaughan Lee
14 – 13
5'6"66" reachOrthodox43 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 14
IA
Iuri Alcantara
"Marajo"
35 – 10
Well-Rounded45 yrsSouthpaw71" reach5'9"
CFR 17

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Alcantara

This is a genuine toss-up — Lee at 45% vs Alcantara at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Lee has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Lee's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Alcantara has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Lee
Alcantara
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'9"
66"
Reach
+71"
43+
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Lee
Alcantara
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.9
16.9
35.8
Performance Avg
48.0
35
Quality of Victory
41
51
Momentum Score
49
Lee
Alcantara
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
1.2
46%
Strike Accuracy
46%
0.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.2
0 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
4
1
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance2
0Clinch0
0Ground3
Lee
Alcantara
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
4.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.8
3.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Lee
Alcantara
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
56
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/27 fights
Chin rating based on
18/45 fights
Lee
Alcantara
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
51
49
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
Lee
Alcantara
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
3
1
Submission Wins
2
2
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Lee
Alcantara
Striking0.8 / 4.2Volume6.1 / 5.2Grappling4.3 / 2.8Wrestling3.0 / 2.0Submission3.3 / 2.0Pressure3.5 / 5.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.2
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.8
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.0
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
3.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.3
6.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.2
Lee
Strike Zones
Alcantara
Lee
Attacking
3HEAD1BODY0LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD1BODY0LEGS5 absorbed
Alcantara
Attacking
4HEAD1BODY0LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD1BODY0LEGS4 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Lee targets the head (75% of attacks) — Alcantara absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Alcantara targets the head (80% of attacks) — Lee absorbs 80% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Lee
RND
Alcantara
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Lee · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.9
0105.5L5.0W1.6L4.5W2.8L4.5W1.5L5.5L2011-112012-072013-062014-052015-07
WinLossTrend

Alcantara · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0104.5W4.5W5.5L5.0W5.5L4.5W5.0W4.5W5.5L4.5W5.5L5.0W5.2W1.8L5.5L5.0W4.2L2011-082014-022016-012018-022018-08
WinLossTrend

Lee · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Paddy HolohanRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Leites · 2015-07
L · KO · R1
Iuri AlcantaraRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Munoz vs Mousasi · 2014-05
W · Dec · R3
Nam PhanRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kim vs Hathaway · 2014-03
L · Sub · R2
Raphael AssuncaoRating 2.8
Submission
UFC on FUEL TV: Nogueira vs. Werdum · 2013-06
W · Dec · R3
Motonobu TezukaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC on FUEL TV: Barao vs McDonald · 2013-02

Alcantara · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Cory SandhagenRating 4.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vick · 2018-08
W · KO · R1
Joe SotoRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. Anders · 2018-02
L · Dec · R3
Alejandro PerezRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Ortega · 2017-12
L · Sub · R1
Brian KelleherRating 1.8
Submission
UFC 212: Aldo vs. Holloway · 2017-06
W · Sub · R2
Luke SandersRating 5.2
Submission
UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson 2 · 2017-03

News & Media

Vaughan Lee · Iuri Alcantara
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