UFC 156: Aldo vs Edgar
Las Vegas, USA
2 Feb 2013
Heavyweight
VS
54%
Overeem
46%
Silva
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 0:25
AO
Alistair Overeem
"The Demolition Man"
47 – 19
6'4"80" reachOrthodox46 yrsKnockout Artist
CFR 18
AS
Antonio Silva
"Bigfoot"
19 – 12
Knockout Artist3-fight slide46 yrsOrthodox82" reach6'4"
CFR 15

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Overeem

This is a genuine toss-up — Overeem at 54% vs Silva at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Overeem has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Overeem's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Silva has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Overeem
Silva
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"
Height
6'4"
80"
Reach
+82"
46
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Overeem
Silva
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.1
15.4
55.0
Performance Avg
47.0
52
Quality of Victory
58
56
Momentum Score
26
Overeem
Silva
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
1.4
73%
Strike Accuracy
53%
8.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
9 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
14
2
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance7
2Clinch7
0Ground0
Overeem
Silva
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.6
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
0.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Overeem
Silva
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
3 consec. KOs
8
KO/TKO Losses
7
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.1 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.1 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/66 fights
Chin rating based on
11/31 fights
Overeem
Silva
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
56
26
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R5
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R5
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
Overeem
Silva
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
100%
9
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Overeem
Silva
Striking8.7 / 10.0Volume3.2 / 0.6Grappling0.6 / 0.0Wrestling0.4 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure7.0 / 7.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
0.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.9
3.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.6
Overeem
Strike Zones
Silva
Overeem
Attacking
0HEAD2BODY0LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
14HEAD0BODY0LEGS14 absorbed
Silva
Attacking
14HEAD0BODY0LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD2BODY0LEGS2 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Overeem targets the body (100% of attacks) — Silva absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Silva targets the head (100% of attacks) — Overeem absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Overeem
RND
Silva
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Overeem · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0105.0W4.0L1.5L4.5W1.5L5.0W4.5W5.2W5.8W2.6L5.5W4.5W1.9L4.9L6.2W5.0W5.1L5.1W5.7W3.4L2011-122014-122017-032019-042021-02
WinLossTrend

Silva · QOF Timeline

Avg: 2.8
0101.5L5.0W5.5W1.5L2.2L1.5L5.2W1.5L1.5L2.8L2012-052013-052015-082016-09
WinLossTrend

Overeem · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Alexander VolkovRating 3.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Volkov · 2021-02
W · KO · R5
Augusto SakaiRating 5.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Sakai · 2020-09
W · KO · R2
Walt HarrisRating 5.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Harris · 2020-05
L · KO · R5
Jairzinho RozenstruikRating 5.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik · 2019-12
W · KO · R1
Aleksei OleinikRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Oleinik · 2019-04

Silva · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Roy NelsonRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cyborg vs. Lansberg · 2016-09
L · KO · R1
Stefan StruveRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Arlovski · 2016-05
L · KO · R1
Mark HuntRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 193: Rousey vs Holm · 2015-11
W · KO · R2
Soa PaleleiRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 190: Rousey vs Correia · 2015-08
L · KO · R1
Frank MirRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Mir · 2015-02

News & Media

Alistair Overeem · Antonio Silva
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