METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee
Las Vegas, USA
7 Oct 2017
Middleweight
VS
32%
Leites
68%
Tavares
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Brad TavareswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Thales Leites · UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Tavares
→
Actual result
Tavares wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Tavares holds a meaningful edge at 68% per the CFR ratings — but Leites has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 19 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Leites has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
Risk flags
Leites's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Tavares has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
LeitesTavares
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Leites
Tavares
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
6'1"
78"+
Reach
74"
45
Age
+38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Leites
Tavares
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.4
35.6
48.8
Performance Avg
40.1
40
Quality of Victory
29
35
Momentum Score
49
Leites
Tavares
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.8
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
5.6
Style: Pressure
2.6
4.9
Style: Volume
8.1
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
19
0
Body
0
2
Leg
9
RangeRange
14Distance23
0Clinch0
0Ground5
Leites
Tavares
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.2
/ 10
2.1
/ 10
2.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.5
3.9
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
5
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Leites
Tavares
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
0
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
6
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.8 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
21/37 fights
Chin rating based on
28/34 fights
Leites
Tavares
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
35
49
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
Leites
Tavares
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
54%
13%
2
KO / TKO Wins
2
5
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
14
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Leites
Tavares
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.4
4.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.1
2.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.5
3.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.6
4.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.1
LeitesTavares
Strike Zones
Leites
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
28 absorbedTavares
Attacking
28 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Leites targets the head (86% of attacks) — Tavares absorbs 86% of strikes there
🎯Tavares targets the head (68% of attacks) — Leites absorbs 68% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Leites
RND
Tavares
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Leites · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Hector LombardDecision
UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. Anders · 2018-09
L · KO · R3
Jack HermanssonKO/TKO
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington · 2018-05
L · Dec · R3
Brad TavaresDecision
UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee · 2017-10
W · Dec · R3
Sam AlveyDecision
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Lobov · 2017-04
L · Dec · R3
Krzysztof JotkoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogueira · 2016-11
Tavares · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Eryk AndersDecision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
L · KO · R3
Robert BryczekKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · 2025-09
W · Dec · R3
Gerald MeerschaertDecision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy · 2025-04
L · Dec · R3
JunYong ParkDecision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · 2024-10
L · KO · R3
Gregory RodriguesKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · 2024-02