The Ultimate Fighter: Team Ortiz vs. Team Shamrock Finale
Las Vegas, USA
24 Jun 2006
Light Heavyweight
VS
39%
Jardine
61%
Gouveia
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
KJ
Keith Jardine
"The Dean of Mean"
17 – 11
6'2"76" reachOrthodox50 yrs4-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 13
WG
Wilson Gouveia
14 – 8
Pressure Fighter2-fight slide47 yrsOrthodox76" reach6'1"
CFR 21

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Gouveia

Gouveia holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Jardine has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Gouveia has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 18 points.

Striking split: Jardine throws more volume but Gouveia connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Jardine's chin rating of 6 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Gouveia has a chin rating of 32 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Jardine
Gouveia
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'1"
76"
Reach
76"
50
Age
+47
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Jardine
Gouveia
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.3
21.0
40.0
Performance Avg
56.2
36
Quality of Victory
54
48
Momentum Score
72
Jardine
Gouveia
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.8
1.8
41%
Strike Accuracy
42%
4.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.5
2 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
25
Head
10
2
Body
1
9
Leg
7
RangeRange
31Distance18
0Clinch0
5Ground0
Jardine
Gouveia
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.6
/ 10
5.3
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
6.7
0
Submission wins
4
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Jardine
Gouveia
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
6
32
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
4
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/28 fights
Chin rating based on
10/22 fights
Jardine
Gouveia
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
48
72
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R2
Jardine
Gouveia
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
100%
2
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
4
4
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Jardine
Gouveia
Striking4.3 / 4.5Volume6.3 / 1.2Grappling1.6 / 5.3Wrestling1.1 / 3.7Submission0.0 / 6.7Pressure3.7 / 8.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.5
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.3
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
6.7
3.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.8
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.2
Jardine
Strike Zones
Gouveia
Jardine
Attacking
25HEAD2BODY9LEGS36 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD1BODY7LEGS18 absorbed
Gouveia
Attacking
10HEAD1BODY7LEGS18 landed
Absorbing
25HEAD2BODY9LEGS36 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Jardine targets the head (69% of attacks) — Gouveia absorbs 69% of strikes there
🎯Gouveia targets the head (56% of attacks) — Jardine absorbs 56% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Jardine
RND
Gouveia
0/0R00/0

Jardine · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.1
0105.2W4.5W5.5L4.5W5.0W1.5L4.5W1.5L4.5W5.5L1.5L4.0L5.5L2005-112006-122008-102010-06
WinLossTrend

Gouveia · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.4
0105.5L5.0W5.2W5.0W5.2W2.8L5.2W5.0W4.0L1.5L2006-062007-052008-092009-12
WinLossTrend

Jardine · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Matt HamillRating 5.5
Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Liddell vs Team Ortiz Finale · 2010-06
L · KO · R3
Ryan BaderRating 4
KO/TKO
UFC 110: Nogueira vs Velasquez · 2010-02
L · KO · R1
Thiago SilvaRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 102: Couture vs Nogueira · 2009-08
L · Dec · R3
Quinton JacksonRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 96: Jackson vs Jardine · 2009-03
W · Dec · R3
Brandon VeraRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 89: Bisping vs Leben · 2008-10

Gouveia · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Alan BelcherRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 107: Penn vs Sanchez · 2009-12
L · KO · R3
Nate MarquardtRating 4
KO/TKO
UFC 95: Sanchez vs Stevenson · 2009-02
W · KO · R1
Jason MacDonaldRating 5
KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Nogueira vs. Team Mir Finale · 2008-12
W · Sub · R2
Ryan JensenRating 5.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Diaz vs Neer · 2008-09
L · KO · R2
Goran ReljicRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 84: Ill Will · 2008-05

News & Media

Keith Jardine · Wilson Gouveia
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