METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Ortiz vs. Team Shamrock Finale
Las Vegas, USA
24 Jun 2006
Light Heavyweight
VS
39%
Jardine
61%
Gouveia
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Keith JardinewinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Wilson Gouveia · The Ultimate Fighter: Team Ortiz vs. Team Shamrock Finale
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Gouveia
→
Actual result
Jardine wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Gouveia holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Jardine has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Gouveia has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 18 points.
Striking split: Jardine throws more volume but Gouveia connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Jardine's chin rating of 6 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Gouveia has a chin rating of 32 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
JardineGouveia
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Jardine
Gouveia
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'1"
76"
Reach
76"
50
Age
+47
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Jardine
Gouveia
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.3
21.0
40.0
Performance Avg
56.2
36
Quality of Victory
54
48
Momentum Score
72
Jardine
Gouveia
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.8
1.8
41%
Strike Accuracy
42%
4.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.5
2 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
25
Head
10
2
Body
1
9
Leg
7
RangeRange
31Distance18
0Clinch0
5Ground0
Jardine
Gouveia
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.6
/ 10
5.3
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
6.7
0
Submission wins
4
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Jardine
Gouveia
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
6
32
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
4
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/28 fights
Chin rating based on
10/22 fights
Jardine
Gouveia
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
48
72
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R2
Jardine
Gouveia
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
100%
2
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
4
4
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Jardine
Gouveia
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.5
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.3
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
6.7
3.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.8
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.2
JardineGouveia
Strike Zones
Jardine
Attacking
36 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedGouveia
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
36 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Jardine targets the head (69% of attacks) — Gouveia absorbs 69% of strikes there
🎯Gouveia targets the head (56% of attacks) — Jardine absorbs 56% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Jardine
RND
Gouveia
0/0R00/0
Jardine · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.1WinLossTrend
Gouveia · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Jardine · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Matt HamillRating 5.5Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Liddell vs Team Ortiz Finale · 2010-06
L · KO · R3
Ryan BaderRating 4KO/TKO
UFC 110: Nogueira vs Velasquez · 2010-02
L · KO · R1
Thiago SilvaRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 102: Couture vs Nogueira · 2009-08
L · Dec · R3
Quinton JacksonRating 5.5Decision
UFC 96: Jackson vs Jardine · 2009-03
W · Dec · R3
Brandon VeraRating 4.5Decision
UFC 89: Bisping vs Leben · 2008-10
Gouveia · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Alan BelcherRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 107: Penn vs Sanchez · 2009-12
L · KO · R3
Nate MarquardtRating 4KO/TKO
UFC 95: Sanchez vs Stevenson · 2009-02
W · KO · R1
Jason MacDonaldRating 5KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Nogueira vs. Team Mir Finale · 2008-12
W · Sub · R2
Ryan JensenRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Diaz vs Neer · 2008-09
L · KO · R2
Goran ReljicRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 84: Ill Will · 2008-05