METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy
London, United Kingdom
21 Mar 2026
Women's Strawweight
VS
95%
Dyer
5%
Oliveira
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 1:17
★ Official Result
Shanelle DyerwinsKO/TKOR2 · 1:17
def. Ravena Oliveira · UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Dyer
→
Actual result
Dyer wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Dyer is a strong favourite at 95% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 75 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Dyer has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 53 points.
Risk flags
Oliveira has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
DyerOliveira
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Dyer
Oliveira
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"+
Height
5'5"
65"
Reach
65"
25+
Age
29
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Dyer
Oliveira
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
79.6
4.2
71.5
Performance Avg
0.0
53
Quality of Victory
0
100
Momentum Score
0
Dyer
Oliveira
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
10.0
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
10.0
Style: Pressure
0.0
2.0
Style: Volume
0.0
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
5
5
Body
1
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
7Distance6
4Clinch0
6Ground0
Dyer
Oliveira
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
🥊
Pure striking matchup
Neither fighter has significant grappling in their history
0
Submission wins
0
Dyer
Oliveira
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
100
52
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
2
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
2/8 fights
Chin rating based on
4/11 fights
Dyer
Oliveira
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
0
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
Dyer
Oliveira
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Dyer
Oliveira
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
10.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
2.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
DyerOliveira
Strike Zones
Dyer
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedOliveira
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Dyer targets the head (53% of attacks) — Oliveira absorbs 53% of strikes there
🎯Oliveira targets the head (83% of attacks) — Dyer absorbs 83% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Dyer
RND
Oliveira
0/0R00/0
Dyer · Last 2
W · KO · R3
Elise ReedKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues · 2026-08
W · KO · R2
Ravena OliveiraKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy · 2026-03
Oliveira · Last 4
L · Sub · R2
Juliana MillerSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs. Salkilld · 2026-08
L · KO · R2
Shanelle DyerKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy · 2026-03
L · Sub · R3
Stephanie LucianoSubmission
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
L · Dec · R3
Tainara LisboaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · 2023-10