UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy
London, United Kingdom
21 Mar 2026
Women's Strawweight
VS
94%
Dyer
6%
Oliveira
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 1:17
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Dyer
Dyer is a strong favourite at 94% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 76 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Dyer has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 55 points.
Dyer has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Oliveira has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Dyer
Oliveira
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"+
Height
5'5"
65"
Reach
65"
25+
Age
29
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Dyer
Oliveira
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
80.7
5.1
73.0
Performance Avg
0.0
55
Quality of Victory
0
100
Momentum Score
0
Dyer
Oliveira
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.3
0.5
55%
Strike Accuracy
46%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
5
5
Body
1
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
7Distance6
4Clinch0
6Ground0
Dyer
Oliveira
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
🥊
Pure striking matchup
Neither fighter has significant grappling in their history
0
Submission wins
0
Dyer
Oliveira
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
100
64
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
1/8 fights
Chin rating based on
3/11 fights
Dyer
Oliveira
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
0
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
Dyer
Oliveira
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Dyer
Oliveira
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
10.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
2.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
DyerOliveira
Strike Zones
Dyer
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedOliveira
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Dyer targets the head (53% of attacks) — Oliveira absorbs 53% of strikes there
🎯Oliveira targets the head (83% of attacks) — Dyer absorbs 83% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Dyer
RND
Oliveira
0/0R00/0
Oliveira · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Dyer · Last 1
W · KO · R2
Ravena OliveiraRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy · 2026-03
Oliveira · Last 3
L · KO · R2
Shanelle DyerRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy · 2026-03
L · Sub · R3
Stephanie LucianoRating 5.4Submission
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
L · Dec · R3
Tainara LisboaRating 5.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · 2023-10

