UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz
New York City, USA
2 Nov 2019
Featherweight
VS
47%
Burgos
53%
Amirkhani
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 4:32
SB
Shane Burgos
"Hurricane"
15 – 3
5'11"75" reachOrthodox35 yrs2-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 32
MA
Makwan Amirkhani
"Mr. Finland"
17 – 9
Well-Rounded2-fight slide37 yrsSouthpaw72" reach5'10"
CFR 36

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Amirkhani

This is a genuine toss-up — Burgos at 47% vs Amirkhani at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Amirkhani has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.

Burgos has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Burgos's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Amirkhani has a chin rating of 16 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Burgos
Amirkhani
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'10"
75"+
Reach
72"
35+
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Burgos
Amirkhani
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
31.9
36.2
50.0
Performance Avg
47.6
35
Quality of Victory
46
100
Momentum Score
56
Burgos
Amirkhani
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.6
0.5
54%
Strike Accuracy
46%
4.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.4
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
46
Head
8
25
Body
1
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
20Distance9
13Clinch0
39Ground0
Burgos
Amirkhani
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
2.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.3
1.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Burgos
Amirkhani
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
16
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.3 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/18 fights
Chin rating based on
14/26 fights
Burgos
Amirkhani
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
56
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Burgos
Amirkhani
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
38%
71%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
4
5
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Burgos
Amirkhani
Striking4.0 / 2.4Volume6.5 / 3.3Grappling2.5 / 5.3Wrestling1.8 / 3.7Submission1.3 / 5.7Pressure4.8 / 6.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.4
2.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.3
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.7
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.7
4.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.5
6.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.3
Burgos
Strike Zones
Amirkhani
Burgos
Attacking
46HEAD25BODY1LEGS72 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD1BODY0LEGS9 absorbed
Amirkhani
Attacking
8HEAD1BODY0LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
46HEAD25BODY1LEGS72 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Burgos targets the head (64% of attacks) — Amirkhani absorbs 64% of strikes there
🎯Amirkhani targets the head (89% of attacks) — Burgos absorbs 89% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Burgos
RND
Amirkhani
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Burgos · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0104.5W5.5W4.5W4.5L5.0W5.0W5.6W5.6L4.5L5.7W5.3W2016-122018-012019-112021-112022-07
WinLossTrend

Amirkhani · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0105.0W5.0W4.5W6.9L4.5W5.2W4.0L5.0W6.0L5.5L4.3L5.0W3.2L3.5L2015-012018-052020-102022-072023-03
WinLossTrend

Burgos · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Charles JourdainRating 5.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez · 2022-07
W · Dec · R3
Billy QuarantilloRating 5.7
Decision
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2 · 2021-11
L · KO · R3
Edson BarbozaRating 4.5
KO/TKO
UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler · 2021-05
L · Dec · R3
Josh EmmettRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Volkov · 2020-06
W · KO · R3
Makwan AmirkhaniRating 5.6
KO/TKO
UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz · 2019-11

Amirkhani · Last 5

L · Sub · R2
Jack ShoreRating 3.5
Submission
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · 2023-03
L · KO · R2
Jonathan PearceRating 3.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall · 2022-07
W · Sub · R1
Mike GrundyRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall · 2022-03
L · KO · R2
Lerone MurphyRating 4.3
KO/TKO
UFC 267: Blachowicz vs. Teixeira · 2021-10
L · Dec · R3
Kamuela KirkRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai · 2021-06

News & Media

Shane Burgos · Makwan Amirkhani
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