UFC 153: Silva vs Bonnar
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
13 Oct 2012
Welterweight
VS
66%
Maia
34%
Story
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:30
DM
Demian Maia
28 – 11
6'1"72" reachSouthpaw48 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 32
RS
Rick Story
"The Horror"
19 – 9
Well-Rounded41 yrsSouthpaw71" reach5'9"
CFR 17

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Maia

Maia holds a meaningful edge at 66% per the CFR ratings — but Story has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Story has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Maia's chin rating of 38 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Story has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Maia
Story
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'9"
72"+
Reach
71"
48
Age
+41
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Maia
Story
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
32.4
17.0
50.8
Performance Avg
46.0
40
Quality of Victory
35
100
Momentum Score
65
Maia
Story
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.5
1.2
41%
Strike Accuracy
42%
1.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.9
1 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
1
1
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance2
0Clinch1
4Ground0
Maia
Story
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
5.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.9
3.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Maia
Story
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
38
56
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
33/39 fights
Chin rating based on
19/28 fights
Maia
Story
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
65
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
Maia
Story
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
55%
33%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
11
Submission Wins
2
10
Decision Wins
8

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Maia
Story
Striking1.8 / 2.9Volume5.0 / 6.6Grappling5.1 / 2.9Wrestling3.6 / 2.0Submission5.0 / 1.7Pressure5.8 / 4.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.9
5.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.9
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.0
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.7
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.2
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.6
Maia
Strike Zones
Story
Maia
Attacking
4HEAD1BODY0LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD2BODY0LEGS3 absorbed
Story
Attacking
1HEAD2BODY0LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD1BODY0LEGS5 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Maia targets the head (80% of attacks) — Story absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Story targets the body (67% of attacks) — Maia absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Maia
RND
Story
0/0R00/0

Maia · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.0W5.4W5.5W5.0W5.0W1.5L4.5W5.5L4.5W4.5W5.5L4.5W6.3L5.0W5.0W4.5W5.5L5.5L4.5W4.5W5.9W5.6W5.9W5.0W4.5W5.5L6.8L6.6L5.0W4.5W5.2W1.7L6.6L2007-102010-122014-052018-052021-06
WinLossTrend

Story · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.5L5.2W4.5W4.5W5.2W4.5W4.5W5.5L5.5L4.5W1.5L5.0W5.5L4.5W5.8L5.2W5.6W4.5W2.8L2009-062010-122012-102014-072016-08
WinLossTrend

Maia · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Belal MuhammadRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · 2021-06
L · KO · R1
Gilbert BurnsRating 1.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira · 2020-03
W · Sub · R3
Ben AskrenRating 5.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Askren · 2019-10
W · Dec · R3
Anthony Rocco MartinRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos · 2019-06
W · Sub · R1
Lyman GoodRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. Moraes 2 · 2019-02

Story · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Donald CerroneRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2 · 2016-08
W · Dec · R3
Tarec SaffiedineRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Garbrandt · 2016-05
W · Dec · R5
Gunnar NelsonRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs Story · 2014-10
W · Sub · R2
Leonardo MafraRating 5.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Miller · 2014-07
L · Dec · R3
Kelvin GastelumRating 5.8
Decision
UFC 171: Hendricks vs Lawler · 2014-03

News & Media

Demian Maia · Rick Story
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