METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 153: Silva vs Bonnar
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
13 Oct 2012
Welterweight
VS
66%
Maia
34%
Story
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:30
★ Official Result
Demian MaiawinsSubmissionR1 · 2:30
def. Rick Story · UFC 153: Silva vs Bonnar
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Maia
→
Actual result
Maia wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Maia holds a meaningful edge at 66% per the CFR ratings — but Story has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Story has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Maia's chin rating of 38 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Story has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MaiaStory
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Maia
Story
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'9"
72"+
Reach
71"
48
Age
+41
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Maia
Story
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
32.4
17.0
50.8
Performance Avg
46.0
40
Quality of Victory
35
100
Momentum Score
65
Maia
Story
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.5
1.2
41%
Strike Accuracy
42%
1.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.9
1 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
1
1
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance2
0Clinch1
4Ground0
Maia
Story
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
5.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.9
3.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Maia
Story
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
38
56
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
33/39 fights
Chin rating based on
19/28 fights
Maia
Story
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
65
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
Maia
Story
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
55%
33%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
11
Submission Wins
2
10
Decision Wins
8
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Maia
Story
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.9
5.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.9
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.0
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.7
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.2
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.6
MaiaStory
Strike Zones
Maia
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedStory
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Maia targets the head (80% of attacks) — Story absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Story targets the body (67% of attacks) — Maia absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Maia
RND
Story
0/0R00/0
Maia · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Story · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Maia · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Belal MuhammadRating 6.6Decision
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · 2021-06
L · KO · R1
Gilbert BurnsRating 1.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira · 2020-03
W · Sub · R3
Ben AskrenRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Askren · 2019-10
W · Dec · R3
Anthony Rocco MartinRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos · 2019-06
W · Sub · R1
Lyman GoodRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. Moraes 2 · 2019-02
Story · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Donald CerroneRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2 · 2016-08
W · Dec · R3
Tarec SaffiedineRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Garbrandt · 2016-05
W · Dec · R5
Gunnar NelsonRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs Story · 2014-10
W · Sub · R2
Leonardo MafraRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Miller · 2014-07
L · Dec · R3
Kelvin GastelumRating 5.8Decision
UFC 171: Hendricks vs Lawler · 2014-03