METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 153: Silva vs Bonnar
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
13 Oct 2012
Welterweight
VS
55%
Maia
45%
Story
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 Β· 2:30
DM
Demian Maia
28 – 11
6'1"72" reachSouthpaw48 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 21
RS
Rick Story
"The Horror"
19 – 9
Well-Rounded42 yrsSouthpaw71" reach5'9"
CFR 17
β˜… Official Result
Demian MaiawinsSubmissionR1 Β· 2:30
def. Rick Story Β· UFC 153: Silva vs Bonnar

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis Β· prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Maia
β†’
Actual result
Maia wins
Submission Β· R1
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up β€” Maia at 55% vs Story at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Risk flags

Maia's chin rating of 38 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Story has a chin rating of 56 β€” a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight β€” Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
MaiaStory
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
β€”
Strike Accuracy
β€”
Maia
Story
Physical Matchup
Height Β· Reach Β· Age Β· Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'9"
72"+
Reach
71"
48
Age
+42
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Maia
Story
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.6
17.0
50.8
Performance Avg
46.0
40
Quality of Victory
35
100
Momentum Score
65
Maia
Story
Striking
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
1.8
/ 10
2.9
/ 10
5.8
Style: Pressure
4.2
5.0
Style: Volume
6.6
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
1
1
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance2
0Clinch1
4Ground0
Maia
Story
Grappling
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
5.1
/ 10
2.9
/ 10
3.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.0
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.7
11
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Maia
Story
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
38
56
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
β€”
Strikes absorbed / min
β€”
33/39 fights
Chin rating based on
19/28 fights
Maia
Story
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance β€” most recent weighted 30%
100
65
2-fight πŸ“‰ slide
Current form
L Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· KO Β· R1
W Β· Sub Β· R3
W Β· Dec Β· R3
W Β· Sub Β· R1
Last 5
L Β· KO Β· R2
W Β· Dec Β· R3
W Β· Dec Β· R5
W Β· Sub Β· R2
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Maia
Story
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
55%
33%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
11
Submission Wins
2
10
Decision Wins
8

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar β€” 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Maia
Story
Striking1.8 / 2.9Volume5.0 / 6.6Grappling5.1 / 2.9Wrestling3.6 / 2.0Submission5.0 / 1.7Pressure5.8 / 4.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.9
5.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.9
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.0
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.7
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.2
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.6
Maia
Strike Zones
Story
Maia
Attacking
4HEAD1BODY0LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD2BODY0LEGS3 absorbed
Story
Attacking
1HEAD2BODY0LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD1BODY0LEGS5 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Maia targets the head (80% of attacks) β€” Story absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Story targets the body (67% of attacks) β€” Maia absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight Β· per-round breakdown

Maia
RND
Story
0/0R00/0

Maia Β· Last 5

L Β· Dec Β· R3
Belal Muhammad
Decision
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 Β· 2021-06
L Β· KO Β· R1
Gilbert Burns
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira Β· 2020-03
W Β· Sub Β· R3
Ben Askren
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Askren Β· 2019-10
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Anthony Rocco Martin
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos Β· 2019-06
W Β· Sub Β· R1
Lyman Good
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. Moraes 2 Β· 2019-02

Story Β· Last 5

L Β· KO Β· R2
Donald Cerrone
KO/TKO
UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2 Β· 2016-08
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Tarec Saffiedine
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Garbrandt Β· 2016-05
W Β· Dec Β· R5
Gunnar Nelson
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs Story Β· 2014-10
W Β· Sub Β· R2
Leonardo Mafra
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Miller Β· 2014-07
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Kelvin Gastelum
Decision
UFC 171: Hendricks vs Lawler Β· 2014-03

News & Media

Demian Maia Β· Rick Story
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