UFC 83: Serra vs St-Pierre 2
Montreal, Canada
19 Apr 2008
Lightweight
VS
55%
Clementi
45%
Stout
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Clementi
This is a genuine toss-up — Clementi at 55% vs Stout at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Clementi has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Striking split: Stout throws more volume but Clementi connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Clementi's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Stout has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Clementi
Stout
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
5'9"
72"+
Reach
70"
50
Age
+42
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Clementi
Stout
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.9
12.3
44.4
Performance Avg
35.3
41
Quality of Victory
29
26
Momentum Score
60
Clementi
Stout
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.6
1.6
38%
Strike Accuracy
28%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
9
0
Body
8
3
Leg
9
RangeRange
13Distance24
1Clinch2
0Ground0
Clementi
Stout
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.5
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
5.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.1
4.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Clementi
Stout
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
0
Never stopped
Verdict
3 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
3
3
Sub Losses
2
—
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/68 fights
Chin rating based on
20/32 fights
Clementi
Stout
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
26
60
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
Clementi
Stout
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
11%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
3
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
8
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Clementi
Stout
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.0
5.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.1
4.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.5
6.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.1
4.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.0
ClementiStout
Strike Zones
Clementi
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
26 absorbedStout
Attacking
26 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Clementi targets the head (79% of attacks) — Stout absorbs 79% of strikes there
🎯Stout targets the head (35% of attacks) — Clementi absorbs 35% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Clementi
RND
Stout
0/0R00/0
Clementi · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Stout · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Clementi · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Gleison TibauRating 1.5Submission
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W · Sub · R1
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L · KO · R1
Frankie PerezRating 1.5KO/TKO
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