UFC 17: Redemption
Mobile, USA
15 May 1998
Middleweight
VS
84%
Henderson
16%
Goes
Win Probability
Decision
Round 2 · 3:00
DH
Dan Henderson
"Hendo"
32 – 15
5'11"74" reachOrthodox55 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 14
AG
Allan Goes
10 – 5
Well-Rounded55 yrsOrthodox6'0"
CFR 3

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Henderson

Henderson is a strong favourite at 84% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Henderson has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 49 points.

Goes has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Henderson's chin rating of 2 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Henderson
Goes
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'0"
74"
Reach
55
Age
55
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Henderson
Goes
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.8
2.7
49.5
Performance Avg
0.0
49
Quality of Victory
0
20
Momentum Score
0
Henderson
Goes
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
1.1
46%
Strike Accuracy
77%
5.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
4 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
8
1
Body
2
0
Leg
7
RangeRange
0Distance14
12Clinch3
0Ground0
Henderson
Goes
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.3
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
0.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Henderson
Goes
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
2
98
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/47 fights
Chin rating based on
1/15 fights
Henderson
Goes
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
20
0
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R2
Henderson
Goes
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
44%
0%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Henderson
Goes
Striking5.4 / 0.0Volume5.4 / 0.0Grappling1.3 / 0.0Wrestling0.9 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure4.6 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
5.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Henderson
Strike Zones
Goes
Henderson
Attacking
11HEAD1BODY0LEGS12 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD2BODY7LEGS17 absorbed
Goes
Attacking
8HEAD2BODY7LEGS17 landed
Absorbing
11HEAD1BODY0LEGS12 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Henderson targets the head (92% of attacks) — Goes absorbs 92% of strikes there
🎯Goes targets the head (47% of attacks) — Henderson absorbs 47% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Henderson
RND
Goes
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Henderson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.2
0104.2W4.2W5.5L2.1L4.5W4.5W5.2W4.5W5.5L5.5L1.5L5.2W4.0L1.5L5.0W1.5L5.2W5.5L1998-052009-012013-112015-112016-10
WinLossTrend

Henderson · Last 5

L · Dec · R5
Michael BispingRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson · 2016-10
W · KO · R2
Hector LombardRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2 · 2016-06
L · KO · R1
Vitor BelfortRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 3 · 2015-11
W · KO · R1
Tim BoetschRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Boetsch vs Henderson · 2015-06
L · KO · R1
Gegard MousasiRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Gustafsson vs Johnson · 2015-01

Goes · Last 1

L · Dec · R2
Dan HendersonRating 4.8
Decision
UFC 17: Redemption · 1998-05

News & Media

Dan Henderson · Allan Goes
← Back to fights