METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Dodson
Portland, USA
1 Oct 2016
Welterweight
VS
50%
Burkman
50%
Ottow
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
JB
CFR 14
★ Official Result
Zak OttowwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Joshua Burkman · UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Dodson
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Burkman
→
Actual result
Ottow wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Burkman at 50% vs Ottow at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Burkman's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Ottow has a chin rating of 32 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
BurkmanOttow
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Burkman
Ottow
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+5'11"
72"
Reach
72"
46
Age
+39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Burkman
Ottow
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.3
14.1
34.7
Performance Avg
40.2
36
Quality of Victory
34
80
Momentum Score
53
Burkman
Ottow
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.3
/ 10
3.5
/ 10
3.3
Style: Pressure
3.3
6.0
Style: Volume
7.0
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
11
3
Body
3
10
Leg
7
RangeRange
12Distance19
5Clinch1
0Ground1
Burkman
Ottow
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.9
/ 10
1.8
/ 10
2.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.3
1.7
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Burkman
Ottow
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
32
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
3
5
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/44 fights
Chin rating based on
8/24 fights
Burkman
Ottow
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
80
53
5-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Burkman
Ottow
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
25%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Burkman
Ottow
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.5
2.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.3
6.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.0
BurkmanOttow
Strike Zones
Burkman
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedOttow
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Burkman targets the legs (59% of attacks) — Ottow absorbs 59% of strikes there
🎯Ottow targets the head (52% of attacks) — Burkman absorbs 52% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Burkman
RND
Ottow
0/0R00/0
Burkman · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Alex MoronoSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Medeiros · 2018-02
L · KO · R1
Drew DoberKO/TKO
UFC 214: Cormier vs. Jones 2 · 2017-07
L · Sub · R1
Michel PrazeresSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs. Gastelum · 2017-03
L · Dec · R3
Zak OttowDecision
UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Dodson · 2016-10
L · Dec · R3
Paul FelderDecision
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Garbrandt · 2016-05
Ottow · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Alex MoronoKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos · 2019-03
W · Dec · R3
Dwight GrantDecision
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Iaquinta · 2018-12
L · KO · R2
Sage NorthcuttKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov · 2018-07
W · KO · R1
Mike PyleKO/TKO
UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya · 2018-03
L · KO · R1
Li JingliangKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs. Gastelum · 2017-11