★ Championship Bout · Featherweight
UFC 136: Edgar vs Maynard 3
Houston, USA
8 Oct 2011
Featherweight
VS
72%
Aldo
28%
Florian
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Aldo
Aldo is a strong favourite at 72% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 27 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Florian throws more volume but Aldo connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Aldo's chin rating of 2 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Florian has a chin rating of 60 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Aldo
Florian
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'10"
70"
Reach
+74"
39+
Age
49
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Aldo
Florian
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
44.5
17.7
53.6
Performance Avg
55.4
49
Quality of Victory
45
40
Momentum Score
28
Aldo
Florian
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
1.1
48%
Strike Accuracy
46%
4.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.1
4 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
0
2
Body
7
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
2Distance2
1Clinch6
4Ground0
Aldo
Florian
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.7
/ 10
5.1
/ 10
1.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.5
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
5.8
0
Submission wins
7
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Aldo
Florian
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
2
60
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
4
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
7 fights ago
Last KO loss
16 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
23/42 fights
Chin rating based on
17/20 fights
Aldo
Florian
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
40
28
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R2
Aldo
Florian
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
75%
4
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
7
10
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Aldo
Florian
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.1
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.1
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.5
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.8
3.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.4
6.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.8
AldoFlorian
Strike Zones
Aldo
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedFlorian
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Aldo targets the head (43% of attacks) — Florian absorbs 43% of strikes there
🎯Florian targets the body (88% of attacks) — Aldo absorbs 88% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Aldo
RND
Florian
0/0R00/0
Aldo · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Florian · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Aldo · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Aiemann ZahabiRating 6.6Decision
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
L · Dec · R3
Mario BautistaRating 6.6Decision
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
W · Dec · R3
Jonathan MartinezRating 5Decision
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05
L · Dec · R3
Merab DvalishviliRating 6.8Decision
UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards · 2022-08
W · Dec · R5
Rob FontRating 5.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo · 2021-12
Florian · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Jose AldoRating 6Decision
UFC 136: Edgar vs Maynard 3 · 2011-10
W · Dec · R3
Diego NunesRating 4.5Decision
UFC 131: Dos Santos vs Carwin · 2011-06
L · Dec · R3
Gray MaynardRating 5.5Decision
UFC 118: Edgar vs Penn 2 · 2010-08
W · Sub · R3
Takanori GomiRating 5.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Florian vs Gomi · 2010-03
W · Sub · R2
Clay GuidaRating 5.7Submission
UFC 107: Penn vs Sanchez · 2009-12