METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Oliveira
Saskatoon, Canada
23 Aug 2015
Light Heavyweight
VS
40%
Lima
60%
Krylov
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:29
★ Official Result
Nikita KrylovwinsSubmissionR1 · 2:29
def. Marcos Rogerio de Lima · UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Oliveira
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Krylov
→
Actual result
Krylov wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Krylov holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Lima has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 20 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Lima's chin rating of 16 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Krylov has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
LimaKrylov
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Lima
Krylov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'3"
75"
Reach
+77"
41
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Lima
Krylov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
39.4
59.2
53.8
Performance Avg
51.6
49
Quality of Victory
50
59
Momentum Score
100
Lima
Krylov
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.7
/ 10
5.3
/ 10
6.9
Style: Pressure
7.5
3.4
Style: Volume
2.4
6 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
5 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
16
1
Body
4
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
5Distance7
0Clinch10
0Ground4
Lima
Krylov
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.1
/ 10
3.7
/ 10
1.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.6
1.8
Submission Style (/10)
4.2
2
Submission wins
5
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Lima
Krylov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
16
0
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
4
5
Sub Losses
4
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/32 fights
Chin rating based on
23/42 fights
Lima
Krylov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
100
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Lima
Krylov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
73%
83%
6
KO / TKO Wins
5
2
Submission Wins
5
3
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Lima
Krylov
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.3
2.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.7
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.6
1.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.2
6.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.5
3.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.4
LimaKrylov
Strike Zones
Lima
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedKrylov
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Lima targets the head (60% of attacks) — Krylov absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Krylov targets the head (76% of attacks) — Lima absorbs 76% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Lima
RND
Krylov
0/0R00/0
Lima · Last 5
W · KO · R2
Junior TafaKO/TKO
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02
L · KO · R1
Derrick LewisKO/TKO
UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2 · 2023-07
W · Dec · R3
Waldo Cortes AcostaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simon · 2023-04
W · Sub · R1
Andrei ArlovskiSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen · 2022-10
L · Dec · R3
Blagoy IvanovDecision
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · 2022-05
Krylov · Last 5
Upcoming
Abdul Rakhman YakhyaevUFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev · 2026-10
L · KO · R3
Robert WhittakerKO/TKO
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
W · KO · R3
Modestas BukauskasKO/TKO
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
L · KO · R1
Bogdan GuskovKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
L · KO · R1
Dominick ReyesKO/TKO
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04