UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Oliveira
Saskatoon, Canada
23 Aug 2015
Light Heavyweight
VS
44%
Lima
56%
Krylov
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:29
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Krylov
This is a genuine toss-up — Lima at 44% vs Krylov at 56% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Krylov has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Lima's chin rating of 16 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Krylov has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Lima
Krylov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'3"
75"
Reach
+77"
40
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Lima
Krylov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
47.3
59.8
53.8
Performance Avg
52.7
49
Quality of Victory
50
59
Momentum Score
100
Lima
Krylov
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
2.0
60%
Strike Accuracy
60%
6.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.3
6 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
16
1
Body
4
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
5Distance7
0Clinch10
0Ground4
Lima
Krylov
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.6
2.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.7
1.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Lima
Krylov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
16
0
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
5
Sub Losses
4
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/32 fights
Chin rating based on
22/42 fights
Lima
Krylov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
100
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
Lima
Krylov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
73%
83%
6
KO / TKO Wins
5
2
Submission Wins
5
3
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Lima
Krylov
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.3
2.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.7
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.6
1.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.2
6.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.5
3.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.5
LimaKrylov
Strike Zones
Lima
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedKrylov
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Lima targets the head (60% of attacks) — Krylov absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Krylov targets the head (76% of attacks) — Lima absorbs 76% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Lima
RND
Krylov
0/0R00/0
Lima · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Krylov · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Lima · Last 5
W · KO · R2
Junior TafaRating 6.1KO/TKO
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02
L · KO · R1
Derrick LewisRating 2.7KO/TKO
UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2 · 2023-07
W · Dec · R3
Waldo Cortes AcostaRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simon · 2023-04
W · Sub · R1
Andrei ArlovskiRating 5.7Submission
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen · 2022-10
L · Dec · R3
Blagoy IvanovRating 5.5Decision
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · 2022-05
Krylov · Last 5
Upcoming
Robert WhittakerUFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
W · KO · R3
Modestas BukauskasRating 6.3KO/TKO
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
L · KO · R1
Bogdan GuskovRating 3.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
L · KO · R1
Dominick ReyesRating 2.5KO/TKO
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · Sub · R1
Ryan SpannRating 5.4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili · 2023-03