UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot
Las Vegas, USA
25 Jun 2022
Featherweight
VS
59%
Nuerdanbieke
41%
Brown
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Nuerdanbieke
This is a genuine toss-up — Nuerdanbieke at 59% vs Brown at 41% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Brown throws more volume but Nuerdanbieke connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Nuerdanbieke's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Brown has a chin rating of 60 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Nuerdanbieke
Brown
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'9"
69"
Reach
+72"
32+
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Nuerdanbieke
Brown
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
40.0
27.8
42.0
Performance Avg
34.0
37
Quality of Victory
32
51
Momentum Score
40
Nuerdanbieke
Brown
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.8
1.0
50%
Strike Accuracy
46%
4.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.8
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
19
Head
13
1
Body
3
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
14Distance14
0Clinch0
6Ground2
Nuerdanbieke
Brown
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
1.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.3
1.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Nuerdanbieke
Brown
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
60
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
3
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/51 fights
Chin rating based on
8/28 fights
Nuerdanbieke
Brown
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
51
40
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Nuerdanbieke
Brown
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
33%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Nuerdanbieke
Brown
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.3
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
3.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.5
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.1
NuerdanbiekeBrown
Strike Zones
Nuerdanbieke
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedBrown
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Nuerdanbieke targets the head (95% of attacks) — Brown absorbs 95% of strikes there
🎯Brown targets the head (81% of attacks) — Nuerdanbieke absorbs 81% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Nuerdanbieke
RND
Brown
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Nuerdanbieke · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Brown · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Nuerdanbieke · Last 5
L · Sub · R3
Melquizael CostaRating 5.2Submission
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L · KO · R2
Steve GarciaRating 4.6KO/TKO
UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2 · 2023-04
W · KO · R1
Darrick MinnerRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos · 2022-11
W · Dec · R3
TJ BrownRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot · 2022-06
W · Dec · R3
Sean SorianoRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vieira vs. Tate · 2021-11
Brown · Last 5
L · Sub · R3
Darren ElkinsRating 4.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · 2023-10
L · Sub · R2
Bill AlgeoRating 3Submission
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen · 2023-04
W · Sub · R3
Erik SilvaRating 5.5Submission
UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev · 2022-12
L · Dec · R3
Shayilan NuerdanbiekeRating 5.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot · 2022-06
W · Dec · R3
Charles RosaRating 4.5Decision
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