★ Championship Bout · Featherweight
UFC 218: Holloway vs. Aldo 2
Detroit, USA
2 Dec 2017
Featherweight
VS
56%
Holloway
44%
Aldo
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 4:51
Max
Max Holloway
"Blessed"
27 – 9
5'11"69" reachOrthodox34 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 56
Jose
Jose Aldo
32 – 10
Well-Rounded2-fight slide39 yrsOrthodox70" reach5'7"
CFR 45

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Holloway

This is a genuine toss-up — Holloway at 56% vs Aldo at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Holloway has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Holloway's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Aldo has a chin rating of 2 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Holloway
Aldo
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'7"
69"
Reach
+70"
34+
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Holloway
Aldo
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
56.2
44.5
56.8
Performance Avg
53.6
47
Quality of Victory
49
63
Momentum Score
40
Holloway
Aldo
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.2
0.9
52%
Strike Accuracy
48%
5.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.1
10 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
86
Head
36
21
Body
1
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
83Distance36
11Clinch2
14Ground0
Holloway
Aldo
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.7
/ 10
1.7
/ 10
1.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.2
0.9
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Holloway
Aldo
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
2
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
4
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
7 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
33/36 fights
Chin rating based on
23/42 fights
Holloway
Aldo
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
63
40
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R5
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R5
Holloway
Aldo
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
52%
29%
10
KO / TKO Wins
4
2
Submission Wins
0
11
Decision Wins
10

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Holloway
Aldo
Striking5.8 / 4.1Volume4.9 / 6.9Grappling1.7 / 1.7Wrestling1.2 / 1.2Submission0.9 / 0.0Pressure5.8 / 3.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.1
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.7
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
0.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.8
4.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.9
Holloway
Strike Zones
Aldo
Holloway
Attacking
86HEAD21BODY1LEGS108 landed
Absorbing
36HEAD1BODY1LEGS38 absorbed
Aldo
Attacking
36HEAD1BODY1LEGS38 landed
Absorbing
86HEAD21BODY1LEGS108 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Holloway targets the head (80% of attacks) — Aldo absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Aldo targets the head (95% of attacks) — Holloway absorbs 95% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Holloway
RND
Aldo
0/0R00/0

Holloway · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.6
0102.8L4.5W5.2W4.5W5.5L7.5L5.2W6.2W5.5W5.0W4.5W6.0W6.4W5.0W4.5W5.2W5.7W5.7W5.7W6.8L4.5W7.0L7.0L5.0W6.1W7.0L5.9W5.7W7.1W5.1L5.8W6.9L2012-022014-082017-062021-112026-03
WinLossTrend

Aldo · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0104.5W4.5W5.0W4.5W5.9W4.5W4.5W3.5L4.5W3.8L3.8L5.5W6.0W7.0L5.5L5.5L5.3W5.0W5.7W6.8L5.0W6.6L6.6L2011-042014-102019-022021-122025-05
WinLossTrend

Holloway · Last 5

Upcoming
Conor McGregor
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
L · Dec · R5
Charles OliveiraRating 6.9
Decision
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
W · Dec · R5
Dustin PoirierRating 5.8
Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
L · KO · R3
Ilia TopuriaRating 5.1
KO/TKO
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
W · KO · R5
Justin GaethjeRating 7.1
KO/TKO
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04

Aldo · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Aiemann ZahabiRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
L · Dec · R3
Mario BautistaRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
W · Dec · R3
Jonathan MartinezRating 5
Decision
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05
L · Dec · R3
Merab DvalishviliRating 6.8
Decision
UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards · 2022-08
W · Dec · R5
Rob FontRating 5.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo · 2021-12

News & Media

Max Holloway · Jose Aldo
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