METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
★ Championship Bout · Featherweight
UFC 218: Holloway vs. Aldo 2
Detroit, USA
2 Dec 2017
Featherweight
VS
56%
Holloway
44%
Aldo
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 4:51
★ Official Result
Max HollowaywinsKO/TKOR3 · 4:51
def. Jose Aldo · UFC 218: Holloway vs. Aldo 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Holloway
→
Actual result
Holloway wins
KO/TKO · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Holloway at 56% vs Aldo at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Holloway's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Aldo has a chin rating of 2 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
HollowayAldo
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Holloway
Aldo
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'7"
69"
Reach
+70"
34+
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Holloway
Aldo
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
56.9
44.5
57.7
Performance Avg
53.6
48
Quality of Victory
49
63
Momentum Score
40
Holloway
Aldo
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.0
/ 10
4.1
/ 10
6.0
Style: Pressure
3.8
4.8
Style: Volume
6.9
11 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
86
Head
36
21
Body
1
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
83Distance36
11Clinch2
14Ground0
Holloway
Aldo
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.7
/ 10
1.7
/ 10
1.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.2
0.8
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Holloway
Aldo
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
2
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
4
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
7 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
33/36 fights
Chin rating based on
23/42 fights
Holloway
Aldo
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
63
40
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R5
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R5
Holloway
Aldo
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
54%
29%
11
KO / TKO Wins
4
2
Submission Wins
0
11
Decision Wins
10
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Holloway
Aldo
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.1
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.7
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
0.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.8
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.9
HollowayAldo
Strike Zones
Holloway
Attacking
108 landedAbsorbing
38 absorbedAldo
Attacking
38 landedAbsorbing
108 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Holloway targets the head (80% of attacks) — Aldo absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Aldo targets the head (95% of attacks) — Holloway absorbs 95% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Holloway
RND
Aldo
0/0R00/0
Holloway · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Conor McGregorKO/TKO
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
L · Dec · R5
Charles OliveiraDecision
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
W · Dec · R5
Dustin PoirierDecision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
L · KO · R3
Ilia TopuriaKO/TKO
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
W · KO · R5
Justin GaethjeKO/TKO
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
Aldo · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Aiemann ZahabiDecision
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
L · Dec · R3
Mario BautistaDecision
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
W · Dec · R3
Jonathan MartinezDecision
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05
L · Dec · R3
Merab DvalishviliDecision
UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards · 2022-08
W · Dec · R5
Rob FontDecision
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo · 2021-12