METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC on FOX: Werdum vs Browne
Orlando, USA
19 Apr 2014
Welterweight
VS
54%
Alves
46%
Baczynski
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
SB
CFR 14
★ Official Result
Thiago AlveswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Seth Baczynski · UFC on FOX: Werdum vs Browne
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Alves
→
Actual result
Alves wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Alves at 54% vs Baczynski at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Alves's chin rating of 6 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Baczynski has a chin rating of 28 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
AlvesBaczynski
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Alves
Baczynski
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+6'3"
70"
Reach
+75"
42+
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Alves
Baczynski
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.5
14.3
47.3
Performance Avg
43.3
42
Quality of Victory
42
63
Momentum Score
33
Alves
Baczynski
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.8
/ 10
2.9
/ 10
5.4
Style: Pressure
5.6
4.3
Style: Volume
4.1
7 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
20
12
Body
5
14
Leg
5
RangeRange
37Distance29
4Clinch1
0Ground0
Alves
Baczynski
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.5
/ 10
4.2
/ 10
1.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.9
0.7
Submission Style (/10)
4.0
1
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Alves
Baczynski
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
6
28
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
3
3
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
27/38 fights
Chin rating based on
11/34 fights
Alves
Baczynski
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
63
33
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Alves
Baczynski
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
53%
60%
7
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
2
7
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Alves
Baczynski
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.9
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.2
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.9
0.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.0
5.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.6
4.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.1
AlvesBaczynski
Strike Zones
Alves
Attacking
41 landedAbsorbing
30 absorbedBaczynski
Attacking
30 landedAbsorbing
41 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Alves targets the head (37% of attacks) — Baczynski absorbs 37% of strikes there
🎯Baczynski targets the head (67% of attacks) — Alves absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Alves
RND
Baczynski
0/0R00/0
Alves · Last 5
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