UFC Fight Night: Evans vs Salmon
Hollywood, USA
25 Jan 2007
Middleweight
VS
96%
Herman
4%
Price
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:58
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Herman
Herman is a strong favourite at 96% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 37 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Herman has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 44 points.
Price has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Herman's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Price has a chin rating of 66 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Herman
Price
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'2"
77"
Reach
45
Age
+43
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Herman
Price
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
38.7
1.8
47.4
Performance Avg
0.0
44
Quality of Victory
0
82
Momentum Score
0
Herman
Price
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
2.0
47%
Strike Accuracy
67%
4.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
4 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
1
0
Body
4
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance1
1Clinch4
4Ground0
Herman
Price
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
3.0
3.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
2.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Herman
Price
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
66
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
4
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
26/43 fights
Chin rating based on
2/23 fights
Herman
Price
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
82
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
Herman
Price
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
69%
0%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
5
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Herman
Price
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
3.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
3.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
HermanPrice
Strike Zones
Herman
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedPrice
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Herman targets the head (100% of attacks) — Price absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Price targets the body (80% of attacks) — Herman absorbs 80% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Herman
RND
Price
0/0R00/0
Herman · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Price · QOF Timeline
Avg: 1.6WinLossTrend
Herman · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Zak CummingsRating 4.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen · 2023-04
L · Dec · R3
Alonzo MenifieldRating 6.4Decision
UFC 265: Lewis vs. Gane · 2021-08
W · Sub · R3
Mike RodriguezRating 5.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill · 2020-09
W · Dec · R3
Khadis IbragimovRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Kattar · 2019-11
W · KO · R1
Patrick CumminsRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Lee · 2019-05
Price · Last 2
L · Sub · R1
Ed HermanRating 1.7Submission
UFC Fight Night: Evans vs Salmon · 2007-01
L · KO · R1
Kendall GroveRating 1.5KO/TKO
Ortiz vs Shamrock 3: The Final Chapter · 2006-10