METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 260: Miocic vs. Ngannou
Las Vegas, USA
27 Mar 2021
Featherweight
VS
54%
Young
46%
Morales
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Omar MoraleswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Shane Young · UFC 260: Miocic vs. Ngannou
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Young
→
Actual result
Morales wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Young at 54% vs Morales at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Young has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.
Risk flags
Young's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Morales has a chin rating of 62 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
YoungMorales
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Young
Morales
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'11"
72"
Reach
+73"
33+
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Young
Morales
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
30.2
25.6
35.4
Performance Avg
32.1
40
Quality of Victory
25
43
Momentum Score
45
Young
Morales
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.6
/ 10
0.9
/ 10
4.4
Style: Pressure
1.3
4.6
Style: Volume
8.9
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
27
7
Body
1
3
Leg
6
RangeRange
18Distance29
2Clinch5
0Ground0
Young
Morales
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Young
Morales
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
62
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/21 fights
Chin rating based on
7/15 fights
Young
Morales
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
43
45
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Young
Morales
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Young
Morales
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.9
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.3
4.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.9
YoungMorales
Strike Zones
Young
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
34 absorbedMorales
Attacking
34 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Young targets the head (50% of attacks) — Morales absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Morales targets the head (79% of attacks) — Young absorbs 79% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Young
RND
Morales
0/0R00/0
Young · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Gabriel MirandaSubmission
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · 2023-09
L · Dec · R3
Blake BilderDecision
UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski · 2023-02
L · Dec · R3
Omar MoralesDecision
UFC 260: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2021-03
L · KO · R1
Ludovit KleinKO/TKO
UFC 253: Adesanya vs. Costa · 2020-09
W · Dec · R3
Austin ArnettDecision
UFC 234: Adesanya vs. Silva · 2019-02
Morales · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Chris DuncanDecision
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · 2023-03
L · KO · R2
Uros MedicKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira · 2022-05
L · Sub · R2
Jonathan PearceSubmission
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega · 2021-09
W · Dec · R3
Shane YoungDecision
UFC 260: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2021-03
L · Dec · R3
Giga ChikadzeDecision
UFC Fight Night: Moraes vs. Sandhagen · 2020-10