UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland
Sydney, Australia
9 Sept 2023
Flyweight
VS
70%
Kape
30%
Santos
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Manel
Manel Kape
"StarBoy"
22 – 7
5'5"68" reachSouthpaw32 yrs3-fight win streakKnockout Artist
CFR 70
Felipe
Felipe dos Santos
"Lipe Detona"
8 – 3
Well-Rounded2-fight slide25 yrsOrthodox70" reach5'7"
CFR 29

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Kape

Kape is a strong favourite at 70% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 40 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Kape has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 31 points.

Kape has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Kape
Santos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
+5'7"
68"
Reach
+70"
32
Age
+25
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Kape
Santos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
69.6
29.3
61.4
Performance Avg
25.0
56
Quality of Victory
25
89
Momentum Score
28
Kape
Santos
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.2
1.1
59%
Strike Accuracy
35%
8.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
5 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
33
Head
21
4
Body
6
2
Leg
5
RangeRange
32Distance29
1Clinch2
6Ground1
Kape
Santos
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.7
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
0.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Kape
Santos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
94
94
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/29 fights
Chin rating based on
4/11 fights
Kape
Santos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
89
28
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Kape
Santos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
71%
0%
5
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Kape
Santos
Striking8.5 / 0.5Volume3.7 / 8.5Grappling0.7 / 2.4Wrestling0.5 / 1.7Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure7.1 / 0.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
0.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
3.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
Kape
Strike Zones
Santos
Kape
Attacking
33HEAD4BODY2LEGS39 landed
Absorbing
21HEAD6BODY5LEGS32 absorbed
Santos
Attacking
21HEAD6BODY5LEGS32 landed
Absorbing
33HEAD4BODY2LEGS39 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Kape targets the head (85% of attacks) — Santos absorbs 85% of strikes there
🎯Santos targets the head (66% of attacks) — Kape absorbs 66% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Kape
RND
Santos
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Kape · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.8
0106.8L5.7L5.8W5.0W4.5W4.5W6.9L6.4W6.4W5.8W2021-022021-122024-072025-12
WinLossTrend

Santos · QOF Timeline

Avg: 6.3
0107.2L4.6W7.0L6.2L2023-092024-022024-092025-03
WinLossTrend

Kape · Last 5

Upcoming
Kyoji Horiguchi
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · 2026-06
W · KO · R1
Brandon RoyvalRating 5.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 2025-12
W · KO · R3
Asu AlmabayevRating 6.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev · 2025-03
W · KO · R3
Bruno SilvaRating 6.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
L · Dec · R3
Muhammad MokaevRating 6.9
Decision
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07

Santos · Last 4

L · Dec · R3
Lone'er KavanaghRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03
L · Dec · R3
Andre LimaRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · 2024-09
W · Dec · R3
Victor AltamiranoRating 4.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 · 2024-02
L · Dec · R3
Manel KapeRating 7.2
Decision
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · 2023-09

News & Media

Manel Kape · Felipe dos Santos
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