METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland
Sydney, Australia
9 Sept 2023
Flyweight
VS
71%
Kape
29%
Santos
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Manel KapewinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Felipe dos Santos · UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Kape
→
Actual result
Kape wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Kape is a strong favourite at 71% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 44 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Kape has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 36 points.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
KapeSantos
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Kape
Santos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
+5'7"
68"
Reach
+70"
32
Age
+25
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Kape
Santos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
72.8
29.3
65.8
Performance Avg
25.0
61
Quality of Victory
25
89
Momentum Score
28
Kape
Santos
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
8.9
/ 10
0.5
/ 10
7.4
Style: Pressure
0.8
3.5
Style: Volume
8.5
6 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
33
Head
21
4
Body
6
2
Leg
5
RangeRange
32Distance29
1Clinch2
6Ground1
Kape
Santos
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.6
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
0.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Kape
Santos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
94
94
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/29 fights
Chin rating based on
4/11 fights
Kape
Santos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
89
28
4-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Kape
Santos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
0%
6
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Kape
Santos
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
0.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
KapeSantos
Strike Zones
Kape
Attacking
39 landedAbsorbing
32 absorbedSantos
Attacking
32 landedAbsorbing
39 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Kape targets the head (85% of attacks) — Santos absorbs 85% of strikes there
🎯Santos targets the head (66% of attacks) — Kape absorbs 66% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Kape
RND
Santos
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Kape · Last 5
W · KO · R3
Kyoji HoriguchiKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · 2026-06
W · KO · R1
Brandon RoyvalKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 2025-12
W · KO · R3
Asu AlmabayevKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev · 2025-03
W · KO · R3
Bruno SilvaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
L · Dec · R3
Muhammad MokaevDecision
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07
Santos · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Lone'er KavanaghDecision
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03
L · Dec · R3
Andre LimaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · 2024-09
W · Dec · R3
Victor AltamiranoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 · 2024-02
L · Dec · R3
Manel KapeDecision
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · 2023-09