UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Jacare
Sao Paulo, Brazil
16 Nov 2019
Lightweight
VS
39%
Trinaldo
61%
Green
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Green
Green holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Trinaldo has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Green has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Trinaldo's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Green has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Trinaldo
Green
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'10"
70"
Reach
+71"
47
Age
+39
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Trinaldo
Green
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
31.7
49.0
48.6
Performance Avg
45.9
35
Quality of Victory
38
100
Momentum Score
85
Trinaldo
Green
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
3.2
47%
Strike Accuracy
55%
3.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.6
4 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
10
0
Body
4
0
Leg
3
RangeRange
11Distance15
1Clinch1
0Ground1
Trinaldo
Green
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.9
1.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Trinaldo
Green
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
0
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
5
2
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R1.2 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
26/37 fights
Chin rating based on
30/52 fights
Trinaldo
Green
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
85
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
Last 5
W · Sub · R1
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
Trinaldo
Green
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
44%
4
KO / TKO Wins
4
2
Submission Wins
3
12
Decision Wins
9
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Trinaldo
Green
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.6
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.9
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.0
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.9
4.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.8
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.6
TrinaldoGreen
Strike Zones
Trinaldo
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedGreen
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Trinaldo targets the head (100% of attacks) — Green absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Green targets the head (59% of attacks) — Trinaldo absorbs 59% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Trinaldo
RND
Green
0/0R00/0
Trinaldo · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Green · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Trinaldo · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Randy BrownRating 6.4Decision
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Green · Last 5
W · Sub · R1
Jeremy StephensRating 5.5Submission
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