Rei Tsuruya vs Luis Gurule — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo

Macau, China

30 May 2026

Bantamweight

72%

Tsuruya

28%

Gurule

Win Probability

Submission

Round 1 · 3:19

Rei Tsuruya

10 – 1

5'6"68" reachOrthodox24 yrs2-fight win streakWell-Rounded

CFR 66

Luis Gurule

"Grim"

11 – 3

Well-Rounded32 yrsOrthodox64" reach5'5"

CFR 25

★ Official Result

Rei TsuruyawinsSubmissionR1 · 3:19

def. Luis Gurule · UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Tsuruya

→

Actual result

Tsuruya wins

Submission · R1

Pre-fight analysis

Tsuruya is a strong favourite at 72% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 40 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Tsuruya has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 19 points.

Risk flags

Gurule has a chin rating of 62 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

TsuruyaGurule

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Tsuruya

Gurule

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

5'6"+

Height

5'5"

68"+

Reach

64"

24+

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

Tsuruya

Gurule

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

65.5

25.1

56.6

Performance Avg

23.0

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

Tsuruya

Gurule

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

1.5

/ 10

0.4

/ 10

6.9

Style: Pressure

0.6

4.2

Style: Volume

8.4

0 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

0 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

3Distance1

0Clinch0

14Ground0

Tsuruya

Gurule

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

6.1

/ 10

2.4

/ 10

4.3

Wrestling Style (/10)

1.7

6.7

Submission Style (/10)

0.0

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Tsuruya

Gurule

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

Never stopped

Verdict

Moderate

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

—

KO round context

Avg R2.0 stoppage

—

Last KO loss

4 fights ago

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

4/11 fights

Chin rating based on

5/14 fights

Tsuruya

Gurule

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

2-fight 🔥 win streak

Current form

W · Sub · R1

L · Dec · R3

W · Dec · R3

Last 5

L · Sub · R1

W · Dec · R3

L · Dec · R3

L · KO · R2

Tsuruya

Gurule

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

67%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Tsuruya

Gurule

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

1.5

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

0.4

6.1

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

2.4

4.3

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

1.7

6.7

Submission

Submission attack frequency

0.0

6.9

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

0.6

4.2

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

8.4

Tsuruya

Strike Zones

Gurule

Tsuruya

Attacking

17 landed

Absorbing

1 absorbed

Gurule

Attacking

1 landed

Absorbing

17 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Tsuruya targets the head (100% of attacks) — Gurule absorbs 100% of strikes there

🎯Gurule targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Tsuruya absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Tsuruya

RND

Gurule

0/0R00/0

Tsuruya · Last 4

W · Sub · R1

Kevin Borjas

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song · 2026-08

W · Sub · R1

Luis Gurule

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo · 2026-05

L · Dec · R3

Joshua Van

Decision

UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · 2025-03

W · Dec · R3

Carlos Hernandez

Decision

UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06

Gurule · Last 5

L · Sub · R1

Rei Tsuruya

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo · 2026-05

W · Dec · R3

Daniel Barez

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa · 2026-05

L · Dec · R3

Alden Coria

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02

L · Dec · R3

Jesus Aguilar

Decision

Noche UFC: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09

L · KO · R2

Ode Osbourne

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy · 2025-04

News & Media

Rei Tsuruya · Luis Gurule

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