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UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape
Las Vegas, USA
13 Dec 2025
Featherweight
VS
89%
Brito
11%
Thomson
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Joanderson
Joanderson Brito
"Tubarao"
185
5'8"72" reachOrthodox31 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 66
Isaac
Isaac Thomson
93
Well-Rounded24 yrs69" reach5'10"
CFR 8
★ Official Result
Joanderson BritowinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Isaac Thomson · UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Brito
Actual result
Brito wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

Brito is a strong favourite at 89% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 58 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Brito has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 46 points.

Brito has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
BritoThomson
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Brito
Thomson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'10"
72"+
Reach
69"
31
Age
+24
Orthodox
Stance
Brito
Thomson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
66.1
7.8
54.3
Performance Avg
0.0
46
Quality of Victory
0
98
Momentum Score
0
Brito
Thomson
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.1
0.5
54%
Strike Accuracy
38%
4.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
5
5
Body
3
5
Leg
0
RangeRange
13Distance8
3Clinch0
0Ground0
Brito
Thomson
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.1
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
2.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Brito
Thomson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
94
98
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Strikes absorbed / min
10/23 fights
Chin rating based on
1/12 fights
Brito
Thomson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
98
0
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Brito
Thomson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Brito
Thomson
Striking4.7 / 0.0Volume2.7 / 0.0Grappling3.1 / 0.0Wrestling2.1 / 0.0Submission3.3 / 0.0Pressure6.7 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
3.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
2.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Brito
Strike Zones
Thomson
Brito
Attacking
6HEAD5BODY5LEGS16 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD3BODY0LEGS8 absorbed
Thomson
Attacking
5HEAD3BODY0LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD5BODY5LEGS16 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Brito targets the head (38% of attacks) — Thomson absorbs 38% of strikes there
🎯Thomson targets the head (63% of attacks) — Brito absorbs 63% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Brito
RND
Thomson
0/0R00/0

Brito · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.6
0105.7L5.7W5.0W5.5W5.7W5.0W6.5L6.5L4.5W2022-012023-072024-092025-12
WinLossTrend

Brito · Last 5

Upcoming
Jordan Leavitt
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06
W · Dec · R3
Isaac ThomsonRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 2025-12
L · Dec · R3
Pat SabatiniRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy · 2025-04
L · Dec · R3
William GomisRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · 2024-09
W · R2
Jack ShoreRating 5
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05

Thomson · Last 1

L · Dec · R3
Joanderson BritoRating 7.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 2025-12

News & Media

Joanderson Brito · Isaac Thomson
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