UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape
Las Vegas, USA
13 Dec 2025
Featherweight
VS
89%
Brito
11%
Thomson
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Brito
Brito is a strong favourite at 89% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 58 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Brito has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 46 points.
Brito has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Brito
Thomson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'10"
72"+
Reach
69"
31
Age
+24
Orthodox
Stance
—
Brito
Thomson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
66.1
7.8
54.3
Performance Avg
0.0
46
Quality of Victory
0
98
Momentum Score
0
Brito
Thomson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
0.5
54%
Strike Accuracy
38%
4.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
5
5
Body
3
5
Leg
0
RangeRange
13Distance8
3Clinch0
0Ground0
Brito
Thomson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.1
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
2.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Brito
Thomson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
94
98
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/23 fights
Chin rating based on
1/12 fights
Brito
Thomson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
98
0
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Brito
Thomson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Brito
Thomson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
3.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
2.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
BritoThomson
Strike Zones
Brito
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedThomson
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Brito targets the head (38% of attacks) — Thomson absorbs 38% of strikes there
🎯Thomson targets the head (63% of attacks) — Brito absorbs 63% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Brito
RND
Thomson
0/0R00/0
Brito · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.6WinLossTrend
Brito · Last 5
Upcoming
Jordan LeavittUFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06
W · Dec · R3
Isaac ThomsonRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 2025-12
L · Dec · R3
Pat SabatiniRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy · 2025-04
L · Dec · R3
William GomisRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · 2024-09
W · R2
Jack ShoreRating 5UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05
Thomson · Last 1
L · Dec · R3
Joanderson BritoRating 7.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 2025-12

