UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Teixeira
Las Vegas, USA
7 Nov 2020
Heavyweight
VS
52%
Romanov
48%
Lima
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 4:48
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Romanov
This is a genuine toss-up — Romanov at 52% vs Lima at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Romanov throws more volume but Lima connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Romanov's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Lima has a chin rating of 16 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Romanov
Lima
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'1"
75"
Reach
75"
35+
Age
40
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Romanov
Lima
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
50.5
47.3
52.6
Performance Avg
53.8
41
Quality of Victory
49
70
Momentum Score
59
Romanov
Lima
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.0
1.6
52%
Strike Accuracy
60%
2.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.7
1 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
7
1
Body
5
2
Leg
6
RangeRange
0Distance12
3Clinch5
3Ground1
Romanov
Lima
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
4.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.1
3.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Romanov
Lima
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
16
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
5
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/21 fights
Chin rating based on
18/32 fights
Romanov
Lima
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
70
59
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Romanov
Lima
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
57%
73%
1
KO / TKO Wins
6
3
Submission Wins
2
3
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Romanov
Lima
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.7
4.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.1
3.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.5
4.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.8
6.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.9
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.4
RomanovLima
Strike Zones
Romanov
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedLima
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Romanov targets the head (50% of attacks) — Lima absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Lima targets the head (39% of attacks) — Romanov absorbs 39% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Romanov
RND
Lima
0/0R00/0
Romanov · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Lima · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Romanov · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Rodrigo NascimentoRating 4.8Decision
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Lima · Last 5
W · KO · R2
Junior TafaRating 6.1KO/TKO
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L · KO · R1
Derrick LewisRating 2.7KO/TKO
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W · Dec · R3
Waldo Cortes AcostaRating 6Decision
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