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UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Teixeira
Las Vegas, USA
7 Nov 2020
Heavyweight
VS
52%
Romanov
48%
Lima
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 4:48
Alexandr
Alexandr Romanov
"King Kong"
183
6'2"75" reachSouthpaw35 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 51
Marcos
Marcos Rogerio de Lima
"Pezao"
2210
Striker41 yrsOrthodox75" reach6'1"
CFR 47
★ Official Result
Alexandr RomanovwinsSubmissionR1 · 4:48
def. Marcos Rogerio de Lima · UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Teixeira

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Romanov
Actual result
Romanov wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Romanov at 52% vs Lima at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Romanov throws more volume but Lima connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Romanov's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Lima has a chin rating of 16 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
RomanovLima
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Romanov
Lima
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'1"
75"
Reach
75"
35+
Age
41
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Romanov
Lima
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
50.5
47.3
52.6
Performance Avg
53.8
41
Quality of Victory
49
70
Momentum Score
59
Romanov
Lima
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.0
1.6
52%
Strike Accuracy
60%
2.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.7
1 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
7
1
Body
5
2
Leg
6
RangeRange
0Distance12
3Clinch5
3Ground1
Romanov
Lima
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
4.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.1
3.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Romanov
Lima
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
16
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
5
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
Strikes absorbed / min
10/21 fights
Chin rating based on
18/32 fights
Romanov
Lima
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
70
59
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Romanov
Lima
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
57%
73%
1
KO / TKO Wins
6
3
Submission Wins
2
3
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Romanov
Lima
Striking2.8 / 6.7Volume4.8 / 3.4Grappling4.5 / 2.1Wrestling3.1 / 1.5Submission4.3 / 1.8Pressure6.1 / 6.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.7
4.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.1
3.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.5
4.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.8
6.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.9
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.4
Romanov
Strike Zones
Lima
Romanov
Attacking
3HEAD1BODY2LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD5BODY6LEGS18 absorbed
Lima
Attacking
7HEAD5BODY6LEGS18 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD1BODY2LEGS6 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Romanov targets the head (50% of attacks) — Lima absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Lima targets the head (39% of attacks) — Romanov absorbs 39% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Romanov
RND
Lima
0/0R00/0

Romanov · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.2W5.6W4.5W5.2W5.0W5.9L2.8L4.5W3.3L4.8W2020-092021-102023-032024-11
WinLossTrend

Lima · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0105.0W5.0W2.7L5.0W1.5L5.0W3.3L4.5W2.8L5.0W2.3L4.5W5.0W5.5L5.7W6.0W2.7L6.1W2014-052017-012020-112023-042024-02
WinLossTrend

Romanov · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Rodrigo NascimentoRating 4.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · 2024-11
L · Sub · R1
Jailton AlmeidaRating 3.3
Submission
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06
W · Dec · R3
Blagoy IvanovRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov · 2023-07
L · KO · R1
Alexander VolkovRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili · 2023-03
L · Dec · R3
Marcin TyburaRating 5.9
Decision
UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards · 2022-08

Lima · Last 5

W · KO · R2
Junior TafaRating 6.1
KO/TKO
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02
L · KO · R1
Derrick LewisRating 2.7
KO/TKO
UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2 · 2023-07
W · Dec · R3
Waldo Cortes AcostaRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simon · 2023-04
W · Sub · R1
Andrei ArlovskiRating 5.7
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen · 2022-10
L · Dec · R3
Blagoy IvanovRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · 2022-05

News & Media

Alexandr Romanov · Marcos Rogerio de Lima
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