UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev
Las Vegas, USA
12 Mar 2022
Middleweight
VS
55%
Pereira
45%
Silva
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Pereira
This is a genuine toss-up — Pereira at 55% vs Silva at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Pereira has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 14 points.
Pereira has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Silva has a chin rating of 46 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Pereira
Silva
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
6'0"
79"+
Reach
74"
38
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Pereira
Silva
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
76.5
61.6
76.4
Performance Avg
49.0
72
Quality of Victory
58
78
Momentum Score
91
Pereira
Silva
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.3
1.9
68%
Strike Accuracy
53%
9.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
8 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
31
Head
9
17
Body
0
0
Leg
3
RangeRange
33Distance12
15Clinch0
0Ground0
Pereira
Silva
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
🥊
Pure striking matchup
Neither fighter has significant grappling in their history
0
Submission wins
0
Pereira
Silva
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
76
46
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
8 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/16 fights
Chin rating based on
11/36 fights
Pereira
Silva
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
78
91
Current form
5-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R4
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Pereira
Silva
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
80%
100%
8
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Pereira
Silva
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
9.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
0.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.1
3.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
PereiraSilva
Strike Zones
Pereira
Attacking
48 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedSilva
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
48 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Pereira targets the head (65% of attacks) — Silva absorbs 65% of strikes there
🎯Silva targets the head (75% of attacks) — Pereira absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Pereira
RND
Silva
0/0R00/0
Pereira · QOF Timeline
Avg: 6.0WinLossTrend
Silva · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Pereira · Last 5
Upcoming
Ciryl GaneUFC Freedom 250 · 2026-06
W · KO · R1
Magomed AnkalaevRating 6.5KO/TKO
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
L · Dec · R5
Magomed AnkalaevRating 7Decision
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · 2025-03
W · KO · R4
Khalil Rountree Jr.Rating 6.3KO/TKO
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
W · KO · R2
Jiri ProchazkaRating 6.8KO/TKO
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
Silva · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Marc-Andre BarriaultRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
L · Dec · R3
Ismail NaurdievRating 6Decision
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Chris WeidmanRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · 2024-03
L · Dec · R3
Shara MagomedovRating 7Decision
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10
L · Sub · R1
Brendan AllenRating 2.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria · 2023-06