UFC Live: Vera vs Jones
Broomfield, USA
21 Mar 2010
Light Heavyweight
VS
55%
Marshall
45%
Matyushenko
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Marshall
This is a genuine toss-up — Marshall at 55% vs Matyushenko at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Matyushenko has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Matyushenko has a chin rating of 20 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Marshall
Matyushenko
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'0"
77"+
Reach
74"
45+
Age
55
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Marshall
Matyushenko
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.5
13.5
40.8
Performance Avg
47.3
35
Quality of Victory
40
65
Momentum Score
20
Marshall
Matyushenko
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.8
0.9
27%
Strike Accuracy
46%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.5
0 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
6
1
Body
0
1
Leg
7
RangeRange
6Distance13
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Marshall
Matyushenko
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
4.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.4
3.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Marshall
Matyushenko
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
20
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/14 fights
Chin rating based on
12/35 fights
Marshall
Matyushenko
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
20
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Marshall
Matyushenko
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
43%
0
KO / TKO Wins
3
1
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Marshall
Matyushenko
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.5
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.4
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.0
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.8
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.7
MarshallMatyushenko
Strike Zones
Marshall
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedMatyushenko
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Marshall targets the head (67% of attacks) — Matyushenko absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Matyushenko targets the legs (54% of attacks) — Marshall absorbs 54% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Marshall
RND
Matyushenko
0/0R00/0
Marshall · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Matyushenko · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.9WinLossTrend
Marshall · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Brandon VeraRating 5.5Decision
UFC 137: Penn vs Diaz · 2011-10
L · KO · R1
Luiz CaneRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 128: Shogun vs Jones · 2011-03
L · Dec · R3
Vladimir MatyushenkoRating 5.5Decision
UFC Live: Vera vs Jones · 2010-03
W · Dec · R3
Jason BrilzRating 4.5Decision
UFC 103: Franklin vs Belfort · 2009-09
W · Dec · R3
Vinny MagalhaesRating 4.5Decision
UFC 97: Redemption · 2009-04
Matyushenko · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Ryan BaderRating 1.5Submission
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Dodson · 2013-01
L · KO · R1
Alexander GustafssonRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 141: Lesnar vs Overeem · 2011-12
W · KO · R1
Jason BrilzRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 129: St-Pierre vs Shields · 2011-04
W · KO · R1
Alexandre FerreiraRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 122: Marquardt vs Okami · 2010-11
L · KO · R1
Jon JonesRating 3.3KO/TKO
UFC Live: Jones vs Matyushenko · 2010-08