METRICS GUIDE
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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Both men have beaten Deiveson Figueiredo in the past eight months, and only one of them needed the judges to do it.
The neat way in is Deiveson Figueiredo, because both of these men have beaten him inside the last eight months. Umar Nurmagomedov took a decision off him at UFC 324 in January. Song Yadong submitted him in the second round in May. That is the fight in miniature: one man accumulates, the other terminates. The composite ratings do not agree with the pick, and it is worth saying so up front. Song's …
Nurmagomedov (20-1) is 4-1 in his recorded last five, with every one of those fights going to a decision — Figueiredo in January, Mario Bautista in October, Cory Sandhagen over five rounds in August 2024. The single defeat is the five-round title loss to Merab Dvalishvili in January 2025. A 98.0 chin rating and a 100.0 fade index are the two numbers that define him.
Song (22-9-1) submitted Deiveson Figueiredo in the second round in May, his first stoppage in this recorded stretch, after dropping a decision to Sean O'Malley in January. His 43.5 quality-of-victory is the higher of the two and reflects sixteen recorded UFC fights against Cejudo, Yan and O'Malley. At 28 he is the younger man by two years.
Both men beat Figueiredo inside eight months — Umar over three rounds, Song by second-round submission
Umar's 3.5 grappling against Song's 1.63 wrestling score, in a fight Song needs standing
Five straight decisions for Umar against a 0.58 finish rate for Song
Song fighting in Shanghai with a 43.5 quality-of-victory against Umar's 36.1
A 98.0 chin and a 100.0 fade index for Umar — the profile of a man who is very hard to rush
The composite rating disagrees with the pick: Song leads 63.2 to 60.4, and leads on momentum and quality-of-victory too
Song's 5.67 striking against 3.03 means one clean exchange can settle a fight the wrestling was winning
Umar has needed the judges in all five of his recorded recent fights; against a home fighter, close rounds are not a comfortable plan
This Fight — Statistics
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown