METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs LaFlare
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
21 Mar 2015
Lightweight
VS
64%
Trinaldo
36%
Arreola
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
AA
CFR 18
★ Official Result
Francisco TrinaldowinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Akbarh Arreola · UFC Fight Night: Maia vs LaFlare
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Trinaldo
→
Actual result
Trinaldo wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Trinaldo holds a meaningful edge at 64% per the CFR ratings — but Arreola has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Arreola has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 19 points.
Risk flags
Trinaldo's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
TrinaldoArreola
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Trinaldo
Arreola
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'10"
70"
Reach
+71"
48
Age
+43
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Trinaldo
Arreola
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
31.7
17.7
48.6
Performance Avg
42.4
35
Quality of Victory
54
100
Momentum Score
36
Trinaldo
Arreola
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.6
/ 10
0.5
/ 10
4.4
Style: Pressure
7.8
6.3
Style: Volume
0.5
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
9
3
Body
3
1
Leg
4
RangeRange
13Distance16
1Clinch0
5Ground0
Trinaldo
Arreola
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
1.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.6
1.1
Submission Style (/10)
10.0
2
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Trinaldo
Arreola
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
94
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
26/37 fights
Chin rating based on
4/34 fights
Trinaldo
Arreola
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
36
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
Last 5
L · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Trinaldo
Arreola
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
100%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
1
12
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Trinaldo
Arreola
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
4.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.5
TrinaldoArreola
Strike Zones
Trinaldo
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedArreola
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Trinaldo targets the head (79% of attacks) — Arreola absorbs 79% of strikes there
🎯Arreola targets the head (56% of attacks) — Trinaldo absorbs 56% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Trinaldo
RND
Arreola
0/0R00/0
Trinaldo · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Randy BrownDecision
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W · Dec · R3
Danny RobertsDecision
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · 2022-05
W · Dec · R3
Dwight GrantDecision
UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori · 2021-10
L · Dec · R3
Muslim SalikhovDecision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai · 2021-06
W · KO · R3
Jai HerbertKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · 2020-07
Arreola · Last 4
L · R2
Jake MatthewsUFC 193: Rousey vs Holm · 2015-11
L · Dec · R3
Francisco TrinaldoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs LaFlare · 2015-03
W · Sub · R1
Yves EdwardsSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Swanson · 2014-11
L · Dec · R3
Tiago dos Santos e SilvaDecision
UFC on FOX: Lawler vs Brown · 2014-07